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To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (39781)8/30/1999 7:08:00 PM
From: Follies  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116972
 

'American culture places no limits on what is considered appropriate compensation for top executives,'' the study said.


I think that's good. I hope everyone else does too.



To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (39781)8/30/1999 7:08:00 PM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116972
 
Dollar at mercy of U.S. debt financing


TOKYO, Aug 30 (Reuters) - The dollar will have to depreciate further to enable the United States to finance its ballooning current account deficit, says the chief economist at Japan's fourth-largest brokerage.

''The fundamental cause of the dollar's weakness lies in the fact that the U.S. current account deficit
has grown too large to be stably financed by the surpluses of Japan and Europe,'' Kazuo Mizuno,
general manager of the Economic Research Department at Kokusai Securities Co, said in an interview.

To help close the gap of more than $100 billion, the United States has two policy options -- let the
dollar fall further, or depress consumers' overspending by tightening credit.

Rising interest rates could eventually trigger a downward correction in rallying U.S. stock prices,
which Mizuno said have given an excessive boost to U.S. consumers' purchasing power.

''Both policies, which I believe have already been put in place, would in theory make U.S. assets a
bargain for global investors by reducing their price in foreign currency terms,'' Mizuno said.

To make the dollar a good buy, the U.S. also needs to achieve a gradual drop in the dollar rather
than a nosedive that would scare away much-needed foreign capital.

Foreign capital is critical in financing the U.S. deficit, which reflects deficits in both the corporate and consumer sectors. The U.S. personal savings rate fell further in July to a negative 1.4 percent.

In recent months, Japan has played a key role in moderating the dollar's fall by aggressively buying
the currency.

''Without the BOJ's recent dollar support, the dollar could have fallen through 100 yen by now,''
Mizuno said.

The Bank of Japan spent an estimated $37.76 billion to defend the sagging U.S. currency against the
yen in June and July.

Mizuno warns, however: ''Even if policies to lure foreign capital are adopted, they cannot
automatically boost the ability of Japan and Europe to provide funds to the United States.''

Capital flows from surplus countries are also determined by their fiscal policies and investment and
savings trends, he said.

Until mid-1998, the United States successfully procured as much foreign capital as its financing
needs required through a strong dollar policy, propagated by then-U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert
Rubin, and a good economic performance.

But in the second quarter of 1999, the U.S. current account deficit rose to an annualised $301.7
billion, far exceeding the combined $202.3 billion current account surplus of the 11-nation euro zone
and Japan, according to data provided by the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the
U.S. Commerce Dept.

The U.S. financing gap has leapt further than the calculated difference between its deficit and the
world surplus as Japan has been repatriating the bulk of money invested in U.S. markets since
August 1998, he said.

''Global capital flows have changed course dramatically since August last year, when the Russian
and Latin American crises broke out,'' Mizuno said.

''Japanese investors were awakened to the enormous risks involved in overseas investment when
they saw the dollar's quick tumble following the Russian crisis.''

The dollar fell from 146.50 yen in mid-August, 1998 before the Russian crisis, to 128.10 yen on
September 11, 1998.

Japanese financial institutions' aversion to risk has escalated as they commit themselves to balance
sheet cleanups and capital replenishment, a condition for receiving trillions of yen in public fund
injections into the tottering banking system.

Japanese have turned net sellers of U.S. bonds, unloading 453.9 billion yen ($4.09 billion) on an
annualised basis since the fourth quarter of 1998. They had been net buyers of an annualised 2.9966
trillion yen from the first quarter 1995 to the third quarter of 1998.

The United States has managed to keep European capital in its asset markets by keeping the stock
market steady with three credit easings after last summer's Russian crisis, Mizuno said.

But the departure of Japanese money has dealt a heavy blow, and the United States has had to recall
capital invested in Europe and Latin America, he said.

U.S. investors have pulled $79.7 billion from European securities markets and $12.8 billion from
Latin American stock markets on an annualised basis since the fourth quarter of 1998.