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To: djane who wrote (7030)8/31/1999 1:00:00 AM
From: djane  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29987
 
China Telecom Says Earnings Above Expectations

By Biddy Chan at Bloomberg News

30 August 1999

China Telecom (Hong Kong) Ltd., the only listed owner of
mainland China telecommunications networks, said earnings
rose by a better-than-expected 14% in the first half as it cuts
costs to meet rising competition.

The company, which owns mobile phone networks in three of
China's wealthiest provinces, earned a net 3.95 billion yuan
($476 million) through June, or 0.34 yuan per share. Five
analysts polled by Bloomberg News forecast, on average, net
profit of 3.56 billion yuan.

Sales rose 49% to 16.9 billion yuan from the same period last
year as subscribers increased 35% to 8.81 million. The
company's subscriber numbers rose to 9.1 million last month.

"The results were worse than expected on the revenue side,
but better than expected on the costs side," said David
Gibbons, an analyst at HSBC Securities in Hong Kong.

China Telecom's market share dropped to 91.4% in June from
94.5% at the end of 1998 on growing competition from China
Unicom, the nation's No. 2 telecom service provider. Among
concessions designed to favor its entry into the World Trade
Organization, Beijing has promised to encourage more
competition with former monopoly China Telecom Group, the
Hong Kong company's unlisted parent.

China Telecom will also change its name to reflect a change in
its parent's loss of monopoly, it said, though details and
timetable have yet been fixed.


The company said it's not concerned by increasing
competition.

"Competition stimulates the overall market demand," said
Chairman Wang Xiaochu, noting that only five in every 100
people in the Chinese mainland own a mobile phone,
compared with 3.7 at the end of 1998.


"Our competitors are starting from zero, so it's not surprising
that we are losing market share in%age terms," he said. "Our
growth is actually pretty good in absolute terms."

Costs during the first half of 1999 were 11.5 billion yuan,
including a provision of 500 million yuan for some obsolete
analog equipment. That compares with 20.4 billion yuan for all
of last year, when no provisions were made.

Through June, interconnection fees - money that China
Telecom paid to other companies to connect calls among its
networks in three provinces - made up 24% of total costs,
down from 25% last year.

Operating profit rose 22% to 5.89 billion yuan in the six
months, even though the year-earlier figure was bolstered by a
one-time gain of 1.08 billion yuan from interest earned on the
$4 billion it raised in its initial share sale in late 1997.

China Telecom said it reclassified that gain as part of its
operating profit to comply with the latest period's
presentation. Interest income in the first half of this year
declined after the company spent $2.9 billion to acquire a third
network, in eastern China's Jiangsu province, in June 1998.
Interest rates also fell during the latest half.

Granted some analysts said they don't expect to upgrade their
full-year forecasts even after today's earnings announcement.

Before the earnings were announced, the company was
expected to post 9% growth in net earnings for the full year, to
7.05 billion yuan, according to 30 analysts polled in the
August edition of the Estimate Directory, which doesn't
provide interim forecasts. The full-year forecasts were made
on the assumption that China Telecom makes no asset
purchases this year.

Gibbons at HSBC said China Telecom may see increasing
costs in the next few years as it accelerates its plans to buy
more digital equipment, which is capable of providing
high-speed data transmission services.

Depreciation costs for its existing, mostly analog equipment
already increased to 29% of the company's total costs in the
six months through June, compared with 25% last year.

Still, that possible drag on earnings may be offset by its
proposed acquisition of mobile networks in three more
Chinese provinces, which could potentially expand its
subscriber base by more than a third.
The company didn't give
details on that plan today.

China Telecom said it has cash of 22.8 billion yuan, and
borrowings of 6.2 billion yuan. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 10
percent.

The stock rose 3% to HK$23.95 today. The shares are up
134% so far this year, compared with a 93% gain in the Hang
Seng Index.

Copyright 1999, Bloomberg L.P. All Rights Reserved.