To: djane who wrote (7163 ) 9/2/1999 3:31:00 PM From: djane Respond to of 29987
8/20 Prudential report on LOR/G* (via LOR yahoo thread) Top>Business & Finance>Investments>Sectors>Services>Communications Services>LOR (Loral Space/Communication) Prudential's opinion (as of 8/20) by: RichardJStewart (62/M/Media, PA) 19027 of 19031 LORAL SPACE & COMMUNICATIONS LTD (LOR) Closing Price as of 09/01/99: $18.250 Company Description Investment Opinion: 08/20/99 at $18 1/4 Company Description Loral Space & Communication (LOR), headquartered in New York City, New York, is a vertically integrated company that competes in the space industry. Its primary areas of business are satellite manufacturing and fixed satellite services (FSS). The company provides broadcast transponder leasing, domestic and international corporate data networks, global wireless telephony, broad-band data transmission, Internet connection, and digital audio radio services. Loral also holds a 42% interest in Globalstar, a wireless satellite telecommunications business. Investment Opinion: 08/20/99 at $18 1/4 We rate LOR a HOLD for the following reasons: * Although we believe that Loral's core operating businesses are performing well, and have solid growth prospects going forward. However, Loral's investment in the mobile satellite telephony venture Globalstar (GSTRF) has grown to represent over half of its enterprise value. There is a lack of visibility regarding business segment performance due to uncertain development costs and uncertain performance of new businesses such as GlobalStar and Cyberstar . This lack of visibility causes us to maintain our cautious stance. * We believe Globalstar continues to have considerable market risk while requiring more capital to fund development. Although Globalstar (GSTRF) and Iridium (IRIDQ) are different types of satellite systems, the recent difficulties experienced by Iridium in adding subscribers has made us question the size of the actual market for mobile satellite telephony services, reducing visibility of future performance. Loral has used its credit quality to guarantee $500 million in debt and did not provide further direct investment in GSTRF. There should be additional Globalstar financing requirements, however, these will likely be met by vendor financing arrangements, the sources of which remain nebulous at this time, though, undoubtedly, in part by Globalstar suppliers. With Loral guaranteeing Globalstar's new debt, the company is shouldering more of the risk than the other partners. We believe the risk reward of this investment is not in favor of Loral and we continue to remain cautious on Loral shares. * Cyberstar, Loral's broadband satellite system, is one of their major priorities. This system is still in development, nevertheless, LOR believes that it is the key for long-term viability as it represents a large market opportunity much larger than Globalstar's market. They believe that there is the likelihood that many of today's very lucrative satellite based private VSAT networks will eventually be folded into tomorrow's broadband systems. LOR has positioned itself to be the first to the market and the lowest cost system. Posted: 9/2/1999 2:37 pm EDT as a reply to: Msg 1 by YahooFinance