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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Robert Rose who wrote (24615)9/2/1999 5:14:00 PM
From: Benkea  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
"we have to recognize the fact that FUNDAMENTALS DO NOT
COUNT IN A MANIA."

I agree, but then why does Fatataglia use FA to attempt to support his position?



To: Robert Rose who wrote (24615)9/2/1999 5:22:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Robert, i didn't say one should refrain from profiting from the mania...that's what it's here for. btw, i sometimes wonder how long in the tooth it really is...who knows really how excessive things can get? i remember the the incredible run of the Nikkei very well...and some pundits hold that it will be surpassed before this is over. perhaps they are right...



To: Robert Rose who wrote (24615)9/2/1999 6:08:00 PM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Hi Robert,

>>>>> we have to recognize the fact that FUNDAMENTALS DO NOT
COUNT IN A MANIA <<<<<

I would like to take another view of that comment.

As a general comment I would agree fundaments do not count in a MANIA. If that is true and a widely accepted rule of thumb - then if we are still in a MANIA , why hasnt the overall market gone anywhere since APRIL/MAY? Could it be that the MANIA is either pausing or coming to an end.

There are still some manic moves in selected stock and sectors, but nowhere close to the mania that pushed the majority of INTERNETs up previously. The strength of this mania was with the INTERNETS and some other HiTECHs earlier in the year. Once the MANIA in the INTERNETs subsided we saw the MANIA rotate to the DOW stocks in APRIL when the DOW ran from 10,000 to 11,000. Then after the DOW had its manic episode, the MANIA then shifted to other HiTECH stocks and the SOX. And it appears that the actual number of stocks benefiting from manic moves are diminishing.

Is this just a pause or the beginning of the end of the mania?

seeya