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Strategies & Market Trends : India Coffee House -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mohan Marette who wrote (6253)9/2/1999 8:57:00 PM
From: Mohan Marette  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 12475
 
Time to pick bargains as markets decline

Friday, September 3, 1999

Sunita Nagpal (Financial Express)
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New Delhi, Sept 2: The 176 point fall in Sensex to 4730-levels in three trading sessions from Monday's high (closing) of 4905 has thrown up fresh buying opportunities for bargain hunters. Considering there is only one trading day left before the country goes to polls, the time is just right to pick up fundamentally strong scrips.

"If the market can zoom to almost 5,000 level only on hopes of a stable Government at centre, then god only knows what levels the Sensex will touch if we actually had a stable Government," says a NSE broker. Tightening of margins and ban on negotiated deals by Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has brought the rampaging bulls to a grinding halt.

While high margins have definitely dampened the sentiment, a ban on negotiated deals will effectively put an end to front running and warehousing of stocks, which took prices to dizzy heights. However, positive FII inflows coupled with hopes of a stable government will once again help bulls take centrestage on thebourses.

"With the fall in markets, the valuations have become compelling. If one has the capacity to hold, it is time to enter," says a BSE broker.Take for instance, Thermax Limited. The scrip, in this week alone, has lost Rs 43 to close at Rs 263.7. The stock now is enjoying a PE multiple 9.94. With the revival in the economy, the company should do well. Similarly, in the case of Ashok Leyland, the scrip which has lost nearly 12.52 per cent to Rs 127.9. Since its Friday closing, the valuations are cheaper at 74.81 times as against 85.52 times.

With the freight rates showing signs of hardening, the demand for HCVs and LCVs is also picking up. This in other words mean a good performance by the company in the coming years. Another good bet at current prices is Asian Paints. The stock, in the last three trading sessions, has lost 11.3 per cent to close at Rs 389. The valuations are attractive at 20.31 times as the business prospects have improved, thanks to a revival in the auto sector and increasedconstruction activity, especially in the household sector.

Another company which is now trading at an attractive PE multiple is Zee Telefilms. The scrip has shed more than Rs 519 in last three trading sessions, as the market was not happy with the merger ratio of 1:1 with Zee Multimedia. However, this has proved to be a boon for those investors who missed the bus earlier. The scrip is now trading at below 100 PE multiple of 91.16 times. Despite a free fall in the Sensex, a host companies have managed to improve their valuations. Take for example Apollo Tyres.

The scrip, in the last four trading sessions, has gained 20.22 per cent thereby taking its discounting from 18.5 to 22.24 times. In the case of Gujarat Gas, the stock has become expensive almost 56 times its earnings per share, while it was changing hands at 49 times its fiscal 1999 earnings just three days ago.