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To: bill meehan who wrote (60550)9/4/1999 11:17:00 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 86076
 
Bill, the government data are always lagging. In June I posted on the Chicken Page that we are entering a period of some sort of stagflation and we did as the GDP growth is slowing down and inflation is not.

IMHO in a month or two inflation will slow down also and we may start a jolly ride to the inevitable deflation cycle. From data I collect in NYC area real estate prices are topping out (yes I know RE are not in those statistics).

Personally I anticipate a substantial slowdown in economic activity due to the elimination of all the Y2K related work and capital outlays.

Cetainly interesting times.

BWDIK
Haim



To: bill meehan who wrote (60550)9/7/1999 8:35:00 AM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
Bill, i agree that Friday's jobs report doesn't change much...but in terms of the market it's all about perception, not reality.



To: bill meehan who wrote (60550)9/7/1999 11:05:00 AM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
Bill, we have not seen much follow through so far today.

the 3.2 A/d numbers were pretty good on Friday.


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