To: d:oug who wrote (40042 ) 9/6/1999 12:29:00 AM From: d:oug Respond to of 116788
Japanese ... and U.S. law enforcement ... to investigate you [Martin Armstrong] ? ... get caught up in this[Scandal] one too! Subj: Bill Murphy - "Cafe des Scandales" at the Matisse Table Date: 9/5/99 7:12:05 PM EST From: LePatron@LeMetropoleCafe.com To: dougak Martin Armstrong, Princeton Economics International, Japanese Investigators, U.S. Law Enforcement... It is fascinating to me that much of what we have covered in the Cafe over the past year is starting to synchronize and beginning to boil over a bit ... and examine what is happening on the potential "scandal" front and update The Cafe on the peculiar nature of it all..... Now for the "scandale du jour." It revolves around GATA protagonist Martin Armstrong and his Princeton International Economics firm. The latest from two wire services: New York, Sept 2 (Bloomberg) - Republic New York Corp said it suspended the head of its securities unit after an investigation of a client's affiliate in Japan. HSBC Holdings said the probe may delay acquisition of Republic. The bank is under investigation by U.S. law enforcement and regulatory authorities for inflating the net asset value of an investment fund, the Wall Street Journal reported. Republic said it is working with U.S. and Japanese regulators on the probe..... Republic isn't the subject of its investigation, the FSA said. The Japanese authorities are looking at Cresvale International Ltd., an institutional brokerage based in Hong Kong, with offices in London, Tokyo and New York, ... Princeton Economics International, a money manager based in Princeton, New Jersey, owns Cresvale. New York, Sept 3 (Reuters) -- "Analysts and a Republic shareholder told Reuters they thought the Republic unit and the Princeton affiliates may have participated in so-called "tobashi" deals, in which Japanese institutions hide losses through complex derivative transactions. The probe is limited to Republic's dealings with the Princeton affiliates and does not extend to other client relationships, these sources said. Analyst Gerard Cassidy of Tucker Anthony said," It appears one of two things happened: Princeton told Republic this is what (the investments) are worth and Republic took it at face value" or " Princeton in conjunction with Republic Securities determined the value, which was artificially inflated." ... story goes on to say, "Republic also hired Lee Hennessee, an advisor who helped clients pick hedge funds, or unregulated investment funds for wealthy investors that trade a variety of securities usually using borrowed money." This now begins to raise all sorts of issues on what we have reported to you and one that we have not yet. We understand that certain other bullion dealers have been lending gold to Republic. That is very strange. Republic is a bullion dealer. Why are they borrowing gold from other bullion dealers ? It is well known that Republic has done much of Armstrong's silver and gold business on the Comex. Sources told me Friday that Mr. Armstrong has not been seen on the Comex lately and they had heard that his "funds" were not doing very well. In addition we have reported to you that sources tell us that 4 hedge funds (Soros, Tiger, Moore Capital and Martin Armstrong) are reportedly short anywhere from 30 million ounces of gold to 50 million ounces... But how can this be? Martin Armstrong has had correspondence with GATA Secretary, Chris Powell, denying he was short gold? ... It is my turn to respond to Martin Armstrong: September 5, 1999 Dear Martin If you are so on top of the Japanese markets and their way of doing things, how come the Japanese are investigating one of your firms to such a degree that U.S. law enforcement have been brought in to investigate you? That is highly unusual and rarely happens. You said months ago that "all" commodities were in bear markets and that gold should be also. But now oil is trading at $22 per barrel, the CRB has cracked 200 to the upside and the base metals in London are flying. You are known to be one of the world's big silver bears, yet it has not broken towards $2.78 like you predicted. How come and how short are you... You stated there was "no interest" in gold. Rubbish. Gold demand in the second quarter was 4% higher than any other quarter in history; it will be even greater in the 3rd quarter. Demand for gold in India and Asia is booming while demand for gold coins is soaring in North America and in other locations. The premiums on gold coins are rising ... "No interest" in gold ? Then why is the one month lease rate 4.2% when the historical norm is about 1%? Gold lease rates have now remained at abnormally high levels for longer than most can remember. Why was the August Comex gold contract almost squeezed ? Did you know that demand is now running about 160 to 180 tonnes per month greater than supply. Perhaps, you are caught short about this fundamental piece of information ? Oh no, I forgot. You told Chris Powell in your letter you were not short gold. Something strikes me here. "Borrowing gold" for the past few years has been one of the great windfalls of all time and you are one of the mega gold bears. Hedge funds and many financial institutions (as stated above) often borrow money to make investments. For some reason, your firm is being accused of overstated assets, etc. Yet, both you and Long Term Capital Management have told GATA that you are not short gold. Very strange. Somehow it does not make sense that one of the most leveraged financial institutions known to mankind (LTCM) and one of the most bearish institutions regarding gold (PEI) in history, both publicly denied to the Cafe and GATA that they are not "short gold." That does not fly with me. Yes, you are brilliant, but you have made your share of bummer market calls. As I recall, you have been one of the great bears on the Japanese Yen. Tis that no so ? Your prediction for the Yen, if my memory serves me correctly, was about 278. Does that have anything to do with your troubles with Crestvale ? The way I see it, if your short term gold gold call is as on target as your Yen call, we gold bulls are in great shape! You have pontificated your thoughts. I offer you mine - maybe an eye opener would be good for you. The gold supply/demand deficit is much greater than the bullion dealers have told you. The gold loans are double what the bullion dealers have told you. We think that they exceed 10,000 tonnes right now. You say the gold market is not being manipulated. I say the only reason that the price of gold is not double what it is now is because the market has been manipulated. The manipulation of the gold market is one of the great financial scandals in U.S. history. Sounds like you have a few problems to deal with of your own right now. Don't get caught up in this one too! Bill Murphy Chairman, Gold Anti-Trust Committee Le Patron, www. LeMetropoleCafe.com