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Technology Stocks : The New Qualcomm - a S&P500 company -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Keith Feral who wrote (1300)9/6/1999 11:59:00 AM
From: Mike Buckley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13582
 
Keith,

I see that we were working on our posts at about the same time. :)

Using a 40% growth rate, the "forward" PEG is 1.

Using a trailing EPS of $2.05 as defined in my previous post, a 40% annualized growth through FY2000 will produce EPS of $3.12.

Divide the stock price of $163 by $3.12 and the "forward" PE is 52.

Divide that PE by the 40% growth and the year forward PEG is $1.30, not 1.00.

I'm not trying to quibble with the numbers, really, truly. Maybe it's my failing as a valuation junkie, but I think there's a big difference between 1.00 and 1.30.

I think you could agree that is very cheap, too.

I hope my previous post sufficiently explains why the stock might be fairly valued. Even if it does, I'm compelled to repeat that I don't dwell on "fair value" for gorillas like I do with some of my other stocks.

--Mike Buckley



To: Keith Feral who wrote (1300)9/6/1999 11:59:00 AM
From: GO*QCOM  Respond to of 13582
 
The herd of Mutual Funds that have recently made QUALCOMM one of their top new holdings, validates the points made on valuation as well as predictive earnings growth for the future.