To: SMALL FRY who wrote (59699 ) 9/6/1999 7:35:00 PM From: kendall harmon Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 120523
AMKR comments from SSB, excerpts (From Friday 9/3/99): <<* Amkor is seeing orders run well ahead of plan and grow faster than at any time in the company's history, including during the last semiconductor boom from 1993-95. This gives us increasing confidence the company can accelerate revenue and earnings growth well into next year. * We are raising our 1999 EPS forecast from $0.63 to $0.65 and 2000 from $0.85 to $0.95. Most analysts do not now publish "cash earnings", which incorporate goodwill from the June acquisition of Anam's K4 fab. Assuming goodwill per share of $0.16 per year ($28M pre-tax), we are raising our 1999 "cash EPS" estimate from $0.65 to $0.75 and 2000 from $0.95 to $1.10. * Given the continuing strong outlook for the company's prospects, we are raising our rating on AMKR from 2S to 1H (Buy, High Risk) and raising our price target from $18 to $25, 22-times our calendar 2000 cash estimate.... Industry capacity appears to be tightening. The company is now running at an average utilization rate of about 80-85%, with the low end (QFPs) running at 70%, and the high end (BGAs) running at 95%. This brings the company greater pricing power . Though Amkor is not raising prices, it has stopped cutting prices at the low end. By the December quarter, management expects that price declines will average about 1-2% per quarter, compared to a 4% decline in the June quarter. Meanwhile, units, which grew about 25% last quarter, are continuing to accelerate, which should set up for higher revenue growth in the second half of this year and into next. A further additive to earnings, which the company has not yet talked much about, is Amkor's recent entry into the micro-board business. Amkor has begun to help design and assemble tiny chip-level boards for building system-in-a-package solutions for makers of cellular phones, game players, and other systems requiring smaller form factors, lower power and lower cost. Margins on this business, which could reach $50-100 million next year, should be as high as 40%, potentially adding another $0.05 in EPS.>>