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To: Roebear who wrote (50500)9/7/1999 6:24:00 AM
From: oilbabe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
OPEC Says `Happy' With Current Crude Prices, Will Maintain Output Cuts
OPEC Says Satisfied With Oil Price, Will Keep Cuts (Update3)
(Adds more comment from analysts)

Bali, Indonesia, Sept. 7 (Bloomberg) -- The Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries, or OPEC, said it plans to maintain
an oil output cut till March next year as it's satisfied with
present price levels caused by the fall in production.

OPEC, which produces a third of the world's crude oil, or
between 25 million to 28 million barrels a day, agreed to cut
supply by 2.1 million barrels a day in March to end a global oil
glut, worsened by a demand slump across recession-hit Asia.

Crude ``prices at $20 is reasonable and fair both to
producers and consumers,' and will not create inflation in
consuming countries,' said Rilwanu Lukman, secretary general of
OPEC. Lukman is in Bali for the IIOGE '99 oil conference.

OPEC's production cuts pushed up Brent crude oil prices 82
percent since the end of February. Brent for October delivery
rose 1.6 percent yesterday to $21.36 a barrel on the
International Petroleum Exchange in London.

The rebound in prices gives OPEC little incentive to raise
production soon, analysts said.
``One of OPEC's biggest problems was enforcing the cuts and
it's now in (OPEC's) interest not to ease the compliance so soon
when oil prices have made such a remarkable recovery,' said
Alexandra B. Conroy, senior investment analyst at ING Baring
Securities Shanghai.

A global oil glut last year dragged prices to a 12-year low
in December, squeezing earnings at oil producers.

Not Over Yet

That supply glut is not over yet, even as several Asian
economies recover from recession. Demand for oil is still not
growing fast enough to absorb more supply.

Even if oil prices remain at today's levels, there is no
guarantee a few OPEC members as well as non-OPEC members will not
take advantage of rising prices by raising production. said Mark
Flannery, an oil analyst at Credit Suisse First Boston in Hong
Kong.
``We can expect to see some leakage in the compliance before
next March if prices continue to rise,' he said.
``Many producers are eager to make up for lost revenue
during the months when prices dropped to catastrophically low
levels.'

Refiners would welcome a decline in oil prices as that would
lower their production costs, particularly in net oil importing
countries such as Taiwan, South Korea and Thailand, said Rupa
Bose, analyst at Paribas Capital Markets in Singapore.
``As oil becomes more expensive, the recovery in some
countries will become more difficult,' she said.

Crude oil prices have risen high enough for many refiners
and we do not wish to see any further increase in our costs, said
an official at China Petrochemical Development Corp., a Taiwan
petrochemical company.