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Technology Stocks : Internet Guru Discussion -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Richard Tauber who wrote (2676)9/7/1999 6:00:00 PM
From: Frost Byte  Respond to of 4337
 
Goldman Sachs made comments on Priceline today:

Goldman, Sachs & Co. Investment Research
Priceline.com Incorporated
* * Progress in Core Biz; Expanding into New Areas; RL * *
***************************************************************************
* We are raising Priceline.com (PCLN) est's post-offering and expectthe *
* shares to react favorably to new initiatives. PCLN is focused on *
* transitioning to a customer mgmt company. We expect it to makeannc'mnts*
* regarding expansion into new categories and opportunities over thenext *
* few Q's. We are raising our 99, 00, and 01 rev and EPS est's to *
* $466.6m/($0.41), $759.3m/($0.25), $1048.7m/$0.01 from$252.8m/($0.42), *
* $393.7m/($0.26), $585.4m/$0.00 to reflect strong Q2 results, therecent *
* offering, and the ongoing strength of the business. We expect PCLN to *
* leverage its brand and expertise in Buyer-Driven Commerce intomultiple *
* new horizontal categories and other potentially large opportunities.RL.*
***************************************************************************
Rakesh Sood (New York) 1 212-902-1950 - Investment Research
Michael Parekh (New York) 1 212-902-8960 - Investment Research
=================== NOTE 8:58 AM September 07, 1999 ===================
Stk Latest 52 Week Mkt Cap YTD Pr Cur
Rtg Close Range (mm $) Change Yield
--- ------ ------- ------- ------ -----
Priceline.com Incorporated RL 66.38 163-59 9614.0 % 0.0%
--------------Earnings Per Share---------------
PCLN Mar Jun Sep Dec FY CY
2000 FY -0.09 -0.07 -0.06 -0.04 -0.25
1999 FY -0.12A -0.10 A -0.10 -0.09 -0.41
1998 FY(A) -0.08 -0.18 -0.12 -0.11 -0.55
-Abs P/E on- -Rel P/E on-- EV/NxtFY LT EPS
Cur Nxt Cur Nxt EBITDA Growth
----- ----- ----- ----- -------- ------
PCLN FY -161.X -265.X -5.8X -10.4X NA NA%
===========================================================================
* PCLN remains focused on transitioning to a customer relationship
management company from a purely transaction-based web site. In this
way, it will begin to leverage customer profiles in order to better
target offers to consumers, which should drive increased revenueacross
multiple categories. To this end the company has introduced such new
initiatives as its simplified re-submission process and its bestefforts
program, which proactively targets customers whose offers were closeto
an acceptable fulfillment price. These initiatives have helpedincrease
the fill rate to around 50% of reasonable offers, from approx 10% in
Q3:98. Furthermore, PCLN continues to work on site improvements, andwe
would expect to see increased ease-of-use, personalization, and morepro
active content (potentially with fees to PCLN) over the comingmonths.
Finally, PCLN is also working to improve customer service, and is
implementing a Silknet solution to improve its interactions with
customers. We believe the transition to a more customer focusedcompany
should drive increased new and repeat usage of the PCLN service, and
improve the overall customer experience.
* We expect PCLN will make its entry into a variety of new horizontal
categories over the next several quarters. Specifically, we expect a
rental car category to roll out in Q4:99, Cruise lines in Q1:00, and
credit card and insurance offerings by Q2:00. Furthermore, we expectthe
roll-out of new adaptive marketing programs in Q4. We would not be
surprised to see announcements in the coming months in addition to
these, as the company continues its horizontal expansion. We alsoexpect
PCLN to leverage its brand and Buyer-Driven Commerce expertise into
altogether new opportunities, which could serve to expand itsoverall
market potential substantially. We would expect to see progress onB2B,
B2C, C2C, and International initiatives over the next year.
* PCLN's core business continues to gain momentum in the seasonallyslower
(travel) Q3. On the airline side, we believe PCLN is averaging
approximately 8000-plus tickets per day, with a fill rate of
approximately 50% of reasonable offers, up from 1000 tickets/day and17%
at the beginning of the year. Furthermore, gross margins on airline
tickets continue to improve. Exiting July, they were 9.1% excluding
adaptive marketing, and we believe they could reach 15% (ex adaptive
marketing) in the intermediate term. PCLN's Hotel offering is also
showing significant improvements. PCLN's other offerings alsocontinue
to evolve. In financial services, its recent deal with AllianceCapital
significantly improves its offering in that it complements itscurrent
relationship with LendingTree and offers faster approval of ratesusing
Fannie Mae's automated underwriting system. In auto, PCLN expects to
have national coverage with its auto service in Q1:00. We believethe
company is also beginning to work more closely with manufacturers in
this area, and could have announcements in the coming months.
* We believe the PCLN shares, which are currently 60% off their highs,
have not participated in the recent recovery experienced by several
other e-commerce companies due to concerns regarding the company's
ability to expand horizontally. Given our continued confidence inthe
horizontal extensibility of the Priceline.com platform, and imminentnew
initiatives on that front, we believe the shares are attractive at
current levels.
===========================================================================



To: Richard Tauber who wrote (2676)9/9/1999 2:25:00 AM
From: steve harmon - analyst  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4337
 
isld - i always hunt for value and saw it early on with digital island; i think isld may have more room based on the underlying business it already has lined up

the web hosting sector in general is hot but i wait for isld to gain at least 1/3 of exds' value over time