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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ken98 who wrote (25053)9/7/1999 7:31:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Ken, interestingly, the market tends to attach more significance to lagging indicators such as PPI,CPI and the jobs data, possibly because it 'wants' to hear good news, or needs excuses to go higher. the way PPI and CPI are calculated inherently contains a bias for understatement - after the governments statistics minions were criticized for years for overstating inflation, they apparently fixed the problem so thoroughly that they now understate it. every scrap of anecdotal evidence as well as the forward looking indicators contradict the rosy picture painted by CPI and PPI.
the market has ignored the trade deficit for a long time, since it has become used to it's steady expansion. however, it has now graduated from steady expansion to incredible explosion and will merit a lot more attention in the future, of that i am certain.

regards,

hb