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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: johnd who wrote (29276)9/8/1999 4:55:00 PM
From: Tony Viola  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
Johnd,

When Ingram, Staples, Office depot, tech data are all
showing weakness, should I interpret this as a leading
indicator of slower sales in computer, office hardware
and software.


No, I think the problem with those companies is their business models. Ingram used to be big in selling PCs to corporations. Now, more and more, corporations are buying direct, and on line, from people like Dell and Gateway. Ingram gets bypassed. As for Staples and Office Depot, I never knew anybody shopped at those stores for computers anyway. Here's what it's more like, and these bullish reports for PCs have been surfacing for months:

seminews.com

PC unit volumes to surge 24.8% in Q3, predicts
research firm

A service of Semiconductor Business News, CMP Media Inc.
Story posted 10:45 a.m. EST/7:45 a.m., PST, 9/8/99

FRAMINGHAM, Mass.--Personal computer unit shipments in the third quarter are
expected to grow 24.8% over PC volumes in the same period last year, said market
researcher International Data Corp. here today. The strong growth in worldwide PC
shipments will come on the heels of a 36% increase in unit volumes in the second
quarter compared to a year ago, IDC said.

"Prices keep coming down and consumer interest in PCs keeps going up," said analyst
John Brown, research manager of IDC's Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracking report. "IDC
believes that consumer demand combined with the traditional seasonal uptick in sales
will result in very healthy global demand this quarter."

Unit shipments are expected to rise 7.2% in the third quarter from 10.9 million PCs in
the second quarter, said the market research firm. In the second quarter last year, PC
makers delivered 8.0 million computers, estimated IDC, which credits cheap systems,
healthy growth in Asia and the still strong U.S. economy for the continued surge in
personal computer shipments.

Japan has the highest year-to-year growth rate in the second quarter with an increase of
39%, according to IDC, which is forecasting a 32% increase in PC shipments in the
country during the current quarter. Western Europe's PC demand is expected to grow
16.3% in the third quarter, while U.S. PC volumes will be up 12.2% to 12.2 million
units in the third quarter, IDC predicted.

PC shipments in the Asia Pacific market will be up 34.3% in the third quarter compared
to last year, IDC said. China, India, South Korea and Australia are expected to drive the
growth in the region. Political unrest in India, Indonesia and Malaysia could hamper the
regions growth in the second half of this year, cautioned the research firm.



To: johnd who wrote (29276)9/8/1999 8:31:00 PM
From: John A. Stoops  Respond to of 74651
 
Johnd,

Look at Intel for an indication! Not Staples! Intel is selling chips like crazy and that's good for MSFT.

John