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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (43452)	9/12/1999 11:56:00 PM
From: wanmore	Respond to of 94695

buy a put...buy a call..but buy something because the pressure is high!! The inets and telecoms and the biotechs are gonna move again REAL soon and I don't want to be left out.

To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (43452)	9/13/1999 2:40:00 AM
From: Brad Bolen	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Jori, My limited experience has found that it makes a much bigger difference if the trend of the 200dma is down. They are still clearly up on most of the leaders. The opposite is true when the 200dma is moving down. I have made some big bucks betting against a stock's recovery when it had its 50dma breaking up through the 200dma when the 200 was in a down trend. One thing is for sure (the other posters mentioned), I bet this week is a humdinger for volatility in these stocks! RE: Brad, I was looking at the charts that you put up. I thought it was a bad thing when the 50 dma crossed below the 200 dma. And this seems to be the case on all of the charts. JXM

To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (43452)	9/13/1999 10:53:00 AM
From: pater tenebrarum	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

there's also the fact that bear market rallies are more often than not very swift and sharp...and i firmly believe the nutz are still in a bear market. there have been many false starts in the group ever since the april highs. note that fundamentally speaking it becomes more and more evident that these companies will have a hard time ever to make money...e-commerce is battling with constant margin erosion, while the rest depends on advertising revenues precisely from the e-commerce group that's in so much trouble. the internet is a great thing - for consumers. making money from the internet ain't easy. on the advertising front,click-through rates are plummeting, putting enormous pressure on ad rates. in fact it seems as though internet advertising is a non-starter in terms of effectiveness. the game can only go on as long as WS is prepared to underwrite the mounting losses. soon it will be 'show-me' time. when that day comes, a lot of paper wealth will disappear overnight...the nutz insiders are meanwhile selling out at MULTIPLES OF REVENUES, yes that's right, revenues. my advice: sell all the rallies...in the end only a handful of these companies will survive, and it is still doubtful whether the survivors will ever make a decent buck. one last thing: the number two most frequented topic on the 'net is finance and investing - guess what happens in a bear market?