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Strategies & Market Trends : The Rational Analyst -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ftth who wrote (1683)	9/13/1999 12:29:00 AM
From: HeyRainier	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1720

Dave, I have also heard about this hidden simulator in Excel, but never knew how to pull it up. Thanks for showing us how! BTW, I took a little break from my work to find those monoliths. Neat stuff. RT

To: ftth who wrote (1683)	9/13/1999 7:44:00 PM
From: HeyRainier	Respond to of 1720

Dave, Today's close on the Nasdaq Composite can be characterized as a Failed Signal. What I'm curious about though is the follow-through potential for this failure to cascade into a larger collapse. The Nasdaq 100, however, is still free from this development. Any thoughts as to which one ought to be the more significant signal? I'm leaning towards the QQQ as being the more significant of the two since they are the ones that pretty much drive the whole Nasdaq. What's you're thinking on this? RT

To: ftth who wrote (1683)	9/16/1999 11:02:00 AM
From: HeyRainier	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1720

And now another dilemma: The Nasdaq 100 finally confirmed on the Failed Signal, which has bearish implications, but based on the overbought/oversold spectrum, I'm not exactly eager to sell into this weakness at this time. It's just one of those things that makes this market so interesting; one signal tempers another. RT

To: ftth who wrote (1683)	10/21/1999 1:49:00 PM
From: HeyRainier	Respond to of 1720

I tested the waters on options today and closed my SBUX Nov 20 calls at a 26% gain for one day. Geez, these things are like rocket fuel. I can see why people love 'em so much. RT

To: ftth who wrote (1683)	10/24/1999 1:00:00 AM
From: HeyRainier	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1720

All right, here's a trade I initiated about an hour before Friday's close: I bought the November 80 puts on Chase Manhattan (CMB). My money's on the table, and for generally defensive purposes, I have made the assumption that my trade was wrong. There is no doubt about its overbought characteristics, but the movement would seem to be justified by the positive earnings release, coupled with the pending legislation to dismantle the Glass-Steagall Act. My mean-reversion target is for $76. Any thoughts on the current trade, or anyone willing to put on the table some thoughts on the fundamental issues at hand? Rainier