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Biotech / Medical : Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Scott H. Davis who wrote (2691)9/15/1999 2:06:00 AM
From: synchro  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4676
 
Critical mass would be reached if they get a cancer drug convincingly approved. That would be a tremendous validation of antisense. The instant the cancer drug is approved, the Street would start to discount not just the potential profit from that one cancer drug, but the potential profit from the whole antisense platform. THAT's when a fortune can be made from the stock. So assuming they have a successful Phase III trial, watch for the initial huge pop the instant FDA approves their first cancer drug. That is a sign to scale up, and don't sell your holdings to take some quick profits. And if you didn't invest much to before the pop, don't think you have missed the "ground floor"--the subsequent multi-week surge would make the initial pop look insignificant.

If you want to see what a change in perceptation of a technology from skepticism to wholesale embrace can do to a stock's price, just watch what happened to Qualcomm. The same will happen to Isis' antisense -- assuming the technology eventually proves credible. Right now I think some healthy skepticism is warranted. I just can't get over the fact that the other biotechs are willing to sell their antisense portfolio to Isis. That's a pretty significant 'tell' from industry insiders, isn't it?