Red: Surprise: Upgrade on MLM to "Strong buy" Check under "Stocks to Watch" Upgrade by Robinson- Humphrey Enjoy!!! C
Thomson I-Watch Date: Tue, 21 Sep 1999 12:20:35 +0000 (GMT) From: Thomson Investors Network <i-watch@thomson.reply.net> Reply-To: reply@thomson.reply.net To: mailer@thomson.reply.net
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* In Tokyo, equities soared on expectations that after the close the Bank of Japan would announce a monetary plan to help ease the yen's rise against the dollar. The Nikkei Index jumped 2% to 17,932. Much to everyone's surprise, however, after the close the BoJ announced it would not take steps to further support the yen, explaining that it does not feel monetary policy should be based on currency rate targets. The announcement sent the dollar tumbling in the overnight trading to Y104.43 and has cast a shadow over global trading today.
* In Hong Kong, the markets continued yesterday's trend of selling blue-chips and buying technology issues. Subsequently, the Hang Seng slipped 0.4% to 13,420.46.
* News that the Bank of Japan will not ease monetary policy has negatively influenced trading in Europe. Additionally, a report by the Ifo institute showed higher-than-expected growth rates in the West German economy which, when coupled with stronger-than-anticipated growth in other euro-zones, increased concerns of a potential interest rate hike from the ECB. The German DAX has dipped 1.0% to 5297.3 while the French CAC40 is down 0.9%. Global concerns have pressured the UK's FTSE100 as well, pushing it 1.0% lower to 5996.
* The Futures market suggests the US markets will open to the downside this morning. The S&P Futures are trading down 5.8 points while Fair Value is at positive 1.5 points.
* At 8:30 AM, the government will report on the July International Trade situation. A survey of economists by Thomson Global Markets predicts the trade deficit will narrow slightly to $23.9 billion from June's record-setting $24.6 billion gap. While the trade data is not typically a key piece of market-moving data, particularly given the lag in reporting time, the dollar's recent drop against the yen will pull the spotlight onto the report. Some analysts wonder if an ever- widening gap will encourage some investors to seek out investment opportunities outside the US which could slow the flow of funds into US markets.
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* Analyst Recommendation Revisions: Salomon Smith Barney upgraded Rowan Companies (RDC) to "Outperform" from "Neutral" based on price. Prudential Securities lifted its rating on Pixar (PIXR) to "Strong Buy" from "Hold," citing earnings expectations for 3Q and predicted share price appreciation. Robinson- Humphrey upgraded Millennium Network Corp (MLM) to "Strong Buy" due to valuation and exptected future acquisitions.
Prudential Securities lowered its rating on Precision Castparts (PCP) to Hold" from "Accumulate" based on reduced earnings expectations from weakness in PCP's major markets. Lehman Brothers downgraded Alstom (ALS) to "Underperform" from "Outperform," citing better opportunities in other stocks.
JP Morgan reduced estimates for and cut Goodyear (GT) to a "Market Performer" rating from "Buy," noting that the company was not "completely comfortable" with current estimates. Bear Stearns downgraded Furon Company (FCY) to "Neutral" from "Attractive" due to price and the acquisition by Norton Company (NRTO) for $25.50 per share.
* Institutional Money Flows: Profit taking tugged on oil-related stocks in yesterday's session. BHI ended $1 3/4 lower at $30 7/16, BJS dropped $1 11/16 to $35 3/16, and HAL fell back $2 1/2 to $45. Semiconductor stocks also gave back some of their recent gains. TXN ended the day $1 3/8 lower at $88 1/2, KLAC lost $1 9/16 to $71 7/16, and AMAT pulled back $1 to close at $83 13/16. Strength in other technology-related stocks aided in the markets' higher close. IBM jumped $4 3/4 to $130 1/8, MSFT added $1 1/8 to $97 9/16, and BMCS climbed $2 7/8 to end the day at $70 15/16.
* Vodafone Airtouch (VOD) and Bell Atlantic (BEL) will form a new US national wireless company in a deal worth over $70 billion. Scheduled for completion in 6-12 months, BEL will won 55% of the new group, while VOD will own 45%.
* Suiza Foods (SZA) will purchase privately held Southern Foods Group, including debt, by the end of 1999. Though the financial terms were not disclosed, Suiza will obtain up to $2 billion in financing related to the acquisition. The firm expects to see savings of $10 million in the first year, and said the deal will add slightly to earnings or be neutral in the first year.
* Apple Computer said its FY99 4Q earnings will fall below FY99 3Q earnings of $0.69 per share. The First Call consensus estimate forecast earnings of $0.76 per share. The firm cited Motorola's (MOT) slow delivery of microprocessors, used in the PowerMac G4, which limited supply.
* Western Digital (WDC) stated it sees a loss of $1.20-$1.30 for FY 2000 1Q, below the First Call consensus estimate predicting a loss of $1.07.
* GST Telecommunications Inc. (GSTX) announced it anticipates a 3Q loss of $0.90-$1.00 per share, excluding the $30 million settlement received from Global Light Telecommunications (GBT). A First Call survey of 9 analysts forecast a loss of $1.02 per share.
* Cabletron (CS) booked FY2000 2Q earnings of $0.07 per share, ahead of the year-ago quarterly earnings of $0.04 per share. The results were a penny above the First Call consensus estimate. Separately, the company announced Compaq Computer (CPQ) has invested in Cabletron, agreeing to a "multi-year purchase" of products and services. Compaq canceled the earlier agreement to purchase equipment for $300 million per year.
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