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Politics : Evolution -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jacques Chitte who wrote (650)9/16/1999 1:19:00 PM
From: Tunica Albuginea  Respond to of 69300
 
Lather.Rinse.Repeat., simply put, there is no absolute proof of either a Guiding Hand or of evolution.
They should both be offered/taught in Kansas and let the buyer chose, ( under parental guidance ).
Optional digging expeditions could also be offered as " learning " field trips,

back later,
I am going diggin' now

TA,
aka, Keep It Simple

you said

Message #650 from Lather.Rinse.Repeat. at Sep 16 1999 1:11PM

>BUT, b u t, Lather.Rinse.Repeat....of course
evolution has been extended back by the
scientific method of trying to reconstruct a past
event. ( same type of logic used in reconstructing the Theory of Evolution )!!!!!

The Theory clearly implies no Guiding Hand .
Well then obviously it is logical, reasonable,
human? to assume, that
there was No Guiding Hand also in the
pre-biotic era, , correct?<

Here's the thing to remember. The key to the scientific method is "start simple and add complexity only when it cannot be avoided". Adding a Guiding
Hand to the mix is an added complexity ... there would need to be Good Evidence of a guiding hand (and not b.s. emotional arguments like "look at a
living cell and tell me that came from mud"). Currently - there is no halfway-reliable evidence of a Guiding Hand - no key observation or measurable
quantity that shows that Something Extramundane is going on. The Guiding Hand theorists are necessarily oblique - they start with the postulate of a
Guiding Hand and then use sleight-of-idea to try to prove its involvement. But there is nothing a straight scientist can sink his teeth into ... no equivalent of
a Rosetta Stone or an Archaeopteryx or a Cepheid light curve.

So to put together a speculative theory concerning the Black Box ... the basic rule is Keep it Simple. Start with the idea that what you see is what you
get. We're pretty sure that four billion years ago we had ... salty water, methane, some ammonia, carbon dioxide, a dazzling array of igneous and
sedimentary silicate minerals ... and atmospheric plasma chemistry. The Miller-Urey experiment showed that this was enough to generate many of the
basic molecules used to construct modern life.
But going from the bricks to a fully-functioning train station requires other stuff we flat don't know. This is imo one of the more obvious Frontiers of
Science, and it is not served by dogmatists from either direction.
The bottom line is We Don't Know how the connection was made from prebios to full-bore unicell. There are no fossils, either morphological or chemical,
to fill in the big gaps. <this next is important> But to postulate a Guiding Hand at this stage without material evidence thereof is cheating, sorta
like the throwaway plot of the third Star Wars movie. Current theories assume no Guiding Hand, but it is not a dogmatic requirement. it is
not a religion. Give us something measurable, units, dimensions ... that shows the trace of a Guiding Hand and any honest scientist will use
it.
Once the unicell is in place - however it got there, ordinary mechanistic evolution theory is *so far* doing a good job of describing the last coupla billion
years. We have some holes to fill, like the speciation question, but until answers are found either way on that question presupposing a Guiding Hand (or
arguing positivelly that there was none) are both cheating.

The plan, the hope, is that the two black boxes here (origin and speciation) can be modeled or recreated using the growing toolset of facts and
relationships that we learned from mundane, material biochemistry, geology, whatnot. Our insight into how the DNA is written, read and edited is truly
embryonic. If we crack that, we can load the algorithms into a computer (or a billion computers) and see *if* Just Chance will build what we seek. If so ...
there is that much less need to invoke a Guiding Hand. If *not* ... we can "perturb" the model until it lines up with what we know of Earth's history. In that
case we would get a chance to trace a shadowy outline of the Guiding Hand.

It is an article of faith with me that learning is a cardinal virtue. We're here to learn EVERYTHING we can. And imo presupposing the nature of a Guiding
Hand without good, testable evidence thereof is a sin against the Imperative to Learn. I am confident that if there is indeed a Guiding hand, pure science
will show that.