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Technology Stocks : The New Qualcomm - a S&P500 company -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Caxton Rhodes who wrote (1619)9/17/1999 10:18:00 AM
From: DWB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13582
 
But Caxton,

One person's disgusting manipulation by the big boys is another person's shining opportunity to pick up more shares on the cheap. I was overjoyed that I got another chance to pick up more Q shares over the last couple of weeks while all the nervous nellies were selling because we moved below some theoretical support line in cyberspace. Just goes to show that the old analogy is true... if you've got an investment horizon farther out than the end of your nose, the market is like a rich slightly demented uncle, who at times will wander into town and sell you his greatest treasures for pennies on the dollar.... later on he'll wander back into town and buy back the same things for multiples of what they are worth...

What I'm saying is "LEAVE MY UNCLE ALONE!" ;-)

DWB



To: Caxton Rhodes who wrote (1619)9/17/1999 10:18:00 AM
From: 2brasil  Respond to of 13582
 
Qualcomm pushes chips,
not phones
redherring.com
By Vanessa Richardson
Redherring.com
September 17, 1999

To keep its sales and stock pumped, Qualcomm
(Nasdaq: QCOM) will need guts.

And "guts" -- communications
chips and software -- happen to
be what Qualcomm makes best.
And now that it's unloading its
signature cell phone products
group, the company has more
need than ever to find buyers for
its wireless technologies.

On Tuesday, Qualcomm
announced plans to sell its
handset division by the end of the year in order to
focus on the more lucrative business of selling wireless
technology to manufacturers. Investors cheered the
decision, boosting the company's shares 11 percent to
a Wednesday close at $173.88.

A possible buyer for the handset
division, Ericsson (Nasdaq:
ERICY), announced Wednesday
that it had no interest in buying the
Qualcomm unit. Analysts say that
leaves as possible buyers Korea's
Samsung, Japan's Matsushita
(NYSE: MC), Europe's Philips
Electronics (NYSE: PHG), and
Alcatel (NYSE: ALA), each with
strong reasons for expanding their
presence in the United States.
"This is the best way for an overseas company to
break into North America market and either enter or
expand the CDMA market," says Merrill Lynch
(NYSE: MER) analyst Michael Ching.

Despite comprising 45 percent of total sales, profits
from cell phone sales barely contributed to the
company's bottom line and are sinking fast. By
contrast, chips and software have kept Qualcomm
sailing. The company still must rethink its strategy, says
Mr. Ching. "The whole revenue model will have to be
recalibrated," he says. For now, losing the handset
division shouldn't damage earnings.

CASHING IN THE CHIPS
In announcing the potential sale, Qualcomm affirmed
its ability to meet analysts' expectations of 87 cents a
share for its fiscal fourth quarter ending September 27.
The company is on track because of steadily increasing
royalties earned from other cell phone companies that
use its patented CDMA technology. For its third
quarter this year, such royalties generated $93 million,
or roughly 10 percent of total company sales. Put
another way, those royalties grew 97 percent
compared to the same quarter last year.

Many analysts expect Qualcomm's CDMA to become
the linchpin of a globally compatible line of "third
generation" phones, which should help fuel the
company's growth at an annual rate of 33 percent over
the next five years. That promise has helped boost
Qualcomm's shares 560 percent this year. "Why go
through all the hard work of making the phones when
you can just sit back and collect licensing fees from the
other people who make the phones?" asks SG Cowen
analyst Wojtek Uzdelewicz.

Qualcomm originally launched its CDMA technology
against two other cell phone standards: TDMA and
GSM. Now that CDMA is the standard in Korea and
Japan, and is rapidly being accepted in the
fast-growing U.S. market, Qualcomm thinks that
reaping royalties from its widely adopted technology
will generate profit enough.

"It's best for Qualcomm to focus on the fast-growth
CDMA chip market, since it basically developed that
technology," says Mr. Uzdelewicz. "The mobile phone
market is one in which unless you have a volume of 30
to 40 million handset sales, it's very hard to have a
profit margin."

HANGING UP THE PHONES
In its third quarter ended June 27, Qualcomm sold 1.7
million handsets. But cell phone prices have been
dropping faster lately, with 30 percent markdowns this
summer compared to just 15 to 20 percent over the
past few quarters. This has lowered Qualcomm's
operating margins in handsets, which makes up half of
total revenues, down to one to two percent. Nokia
(NYSE: NOK) and Motorola (NYSE: MOT), by
comparison, have operating margins of 19 percent and
10 percent, respectively.

The next step for Qualcomm is to get its CDMA chips
into things besides mobile phones. It has a 90 percent
share in that market, but competition will eventually
drive that down to 65 percent, conceded Qualcomm
president Rich Sulpizio at a Hambrecht & Quist
(NYSE: HQ) technology conference last spring.

Because CDMA is already used in PalmPilots and
smart phones, company officials think other wireless
device makers will be easy to woo. Mr. Sulpizio stated
that he sees no reason why the chips can't go into
laptops and other wireless devices.

If Qualcomm is to make the transition from phones,
that needs to prove true.

Qualcomm

Ericsson

Nokia

Motorola