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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: capt rocky who wrote (29838)9/18/1999 9:51:00 AM
From: unclewest  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
rocky,
i decided to answer your pm here on the thread...

here is one view:

messages.yahoo.com

and here is another:
the clip at the end of this next link got cut off. here it is in full.

clips:
Shozo Saito, technology executive at Toshiba's Memory Products
Division, said that despite questions within the PC OEM community about
the stability of the 820 chip set, "I still think the Rambus technology
will be the major memory technology in the future." Toshiba will be
able to manufacture full-speed RDRAMs at the 256- and 288-Mbit

densities with the 0.18-micron process now ramping up at Yokkaichi, he
said. Much of that additional capacity will be used to manufacturing Rambus
DRAMs. At the Fall Intel Developer Forum in Palm Springs, Calif.,
Samsung executive Y.B. Rao said that by the end of next year Samsung
expects to be manufacturing about 30 million RDRAMs per month. Rao
estimated that the price premium for RDRAMs would still be about 25

percent over SDRAMs by the end of 2000.

Samsung recently switched to a shrink 128-Mbit and 144-Mbit RDRAM,
using a 0.19-micron process, that is 30 percent smaller than its
original RDRAM made on a 0.23-micron process. The company is bullish
about total demand for RDRAM as well, estimating that it will account
for 30 percent of all DRAM demand next year and 50 percent by 2001.


messages.yahoo.com

the potential according to the companies involved is for rambus to get 75% of a $63 billion market in 2003.say 47 billion. the 63b market figure is from dq this week.

from intel: developer.intel.com

at a royalty basis of 1.7% that equals $800,000,000. or if you prefer $32 per share.

to that, we need to add for rimm and connector royalties, perhaps another 10%.

and don't forget licensing fees...that is another adder. they will not be amortized by then...plus should have more companies signing up too.

put all that money in a bank and you get pretty good interest to add as well.

unclewest
i have often admitted, i am no techie. but i do know how to count money, that is why i am long rmbs