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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (41939)9/20/1999 2:15:00 PM
From: Cosmo Daisey  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
Dr. Willie,
""an integral part of testing a strategy is to do "backcasting", whereby performance can be checked from past historical price movement... this method is often used by brokerage houses, hedge funds, and hotshot groups... more later ""
The reason back testing usually fails to predict the future movement and validify a particular strategy is the chart indicators are rescaled. What you see on an old chart is not what was shown on that date. Charts are the number one method for trend analysis.
cdaisey@pain-in-the-###.com