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Biotech / Medical : ARIAD Pharmaceuticals -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LLCF who wrote (700)9/20/1999 11:16:00 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 4474
 
~30M shares at 7/8ths is trivial--if Ariad has
the goods. The only other thing I remember seeing
to compete with ARGENT is the Baylor Genepill--
RU486.

What I would like to know...why was nobody around
to support the share price through the summer.
BancBoston could have been nice guys, apparently a
buy means you buy, we hold. Strong buy must mean
that they've finally started buying. And Ariad
could have promoted themselves better--there are only
something like 350 holders of record in the common,
add another 100 who are willing to park the sort of
money I have and you've lapped up a nice chunk of
shares--nearly six million. However, I wonder if
it does any good, for instance my brokerage probably
turns around and lends my shares to shortsellers
anyway, the whole thing seems to be crooked.

An honest effort could have kept ARIA stock price at higher
levels through the summer...that would have prevented
further dilution, and there probably would not have been
any talk of delisting either. But the fact is, that getting
the stock down to 85 cents did something for somebody,
and it was expected, and so it happened. Very likely
now the market will perceive that Ariad has "bottomed"
and maybe a slow climb is on tap now.

Many questions remain.
Why no mid year shareholder letter like last year,
that was a real disappointment for me. Very hard
to figure out...hey, maybe somebody should get one
of those journalists on the case--how about that
one from Forbes--Zina Moukheiber? You can be sure
one of them will write something up when this is
all over with...how long it takes, I've no idea.

In fact, here is an old article by Zina
forbes.com
--boy, you would not wanted to have got into ARIA
back in January '98--$4 a share. Of course risk
is always -100%...upside varies;-)