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To: Chinacat who wrote (6389)9/22/1999 6:02:00 PM
From: pat pasquale  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10309
 
Summary of Brokerage EPS Estimates and Recommendations
from Zacks Investment Research
WIND RIVER SYS
(NSDQ: WIND)
last updated 9/17/1999
Price: $18.125 2000 P/E: 29.00
Industry: Comp-Software
Estimated Industry Earnings Growth: 29.8%


Earnings Per Share
Last Quarter (Jul-99) 0.14
Surprise -6.67%

Consensus Estimates
This Quarter (Oct-99) 0.17
This Year (Jan-00) 0.63
Next Year (Jan-01) 0.85
Last Updated: 9/17/1999
Next Earnings (Approx.): 11/18/1999


Number of Brokers Recommending:

Strong Buy 3
Moderate Buy 0
Hold 1
Moderate Sell 0
Strong Sell 0



Average Recommendation
(strong buy) 1.00 - 5.00 (strong sell)
This Week 1.50
Last Week 1.50
Change 0.00


Industry: Comp-Software
Ranked 43 of 267






Summary of Consensus EPS Estimates

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEAN HIGH LOW NUMBER
EST MEAN CHG
LAST MNTH
($)
FISC YR END Jan-00 0.63 0.63 0.62 4 -0.05
FISC YR END Jan-01 0.85 0.85 0.85 2 0.00
VS ACTUAL Jan-99 0.61

QUARTER END Oct-99 0.17 0.17 0.16 4 -0.02
VS ACTUAL Oct-98 0.17
QUARTER END Jan-00 0.21 0.22 0.21 4 -0.02
VS ACTUAL Jan-99 0.20
NEXT 5 YR GRTH (%) 25.00 31.00 20.00 3 2.00

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

*ESTIMATES & ACTUALS ARE BOTH EPS BEFORE XTRAS & OTHER NRI'S
Company Estimate Profile

buy buy/hold hold hold/sell sell
1.50
3 0 1 0 0
Current consensus recommendation of 4 brokers.

QTR
Oct-99 QTR
Jan-00 FY
Jan-00 FY
Jan-01
CURRENT MEAN EPS ESTIMATE 0.17 0.21 0.63 0.85
Number of Brokers 4 4 4 2
Year Ago EPS 0.17 0.20 0.61 0.63
Report Date 11/18/1999 / 0/ / 0/ / 0/

Current High Estimate 0.17 0.22 0.63 0.85
Current Low Estimate 0.16 0.21 0.62 0.85
Standard Deviation 0.005 0.005 0.006 0.000

QTR
Jul-99 QTR
Apr-99 QTR
Jan-99 QTR
Oct-98
Previous Quarters' Estimates 0.15 0.11 0.19 0.16
Previous Quarters' Actual EPS 0.14 0.11 0.20 0.17
% Difference -6.67 0.00 5.26 4.19

EARNINGS ESTIMATE REVISIONS AND TRENDS

QTR
Oct-99 QTR
Jan-00 FY
Jan-00 FY
Jan-01
Current Mean 0.17 0.21 0.63 0.85
7-days ago Mean 0.17 0.21 0.63 0.85
30-days ago Mean 0.19 0.23 0.68 0.85
60-days ago Mean 0.20 0.24 0.69 0.85
90-days ago Mean 0.20 0.24 0.73 0.85

Up Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0
Up Revisions last 30 days 0 0 0 0
Down Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0
Down Revisions last 30 days 1 1 1 0

CONSENSUS RECOMMENDATIONS
Current Mean Recommendation 1.50
Number of brokers 4

7-days ago Mean 1.50
30-days ago Mean 2.00
60-days ago Mean 1.67
90-days ago Mean 1.13

SECULAR EARNINGS GROWTH RATES
Next 5 years - Median 20.000
Number of Brokers 3

Next 5 years - High 31.00
Next 5 years - Low 20.00
Last 5 years actual 999.0

CALENDARIZED COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
QTR
Oct-99 QTR
Jan-00 FY
Jan-00 FY
Jan-01
Company EPS estimate 0.17 0.21 0.63 0.85
Current vs. Year Ago Change 0.30 6.25 2.46 36.00

Industry - Comp-Software 3.397 4.283 15.614 19.519
Current vs. Year Ago Change 13.36 16.73 9.88 25.00

Sector - Computer and Technol 17.045 22.439 61.960 76.861
Current vs. Year Ago Change 29.61 21.91 24.05 41.74

S&P Index 12.64 12.35 44.79 49.38
Current vs. Year Ago Change 9.95 15.75 0.11 10.24

Ratios: Company Industry Sector S&P

P/E on 2000 Calendar Year Mean 29.00 40.88 42.12 27.05
PEG on 2000 Calendar Year Mean 1.16 0.85 1.90 4.06
Recommendation 1.67 2.03 1.89 2.05
Earnings Growth Rate 25.00 29.68 29.47 6.67

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Copyright © 1998 Zacks Investment Research Inc. All rights reserved.