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Technology Stocks : Disk Drive Sector Discussion Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mark Oliver who wrote (7118)9/22/1999 11:46:00 AM
From: Sam  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9256
 
Mark,
I don't share his view, which has been and continues to be, to my mind, a rather extreme one. I don't know how many people do share his view, but I do know that more and more people have become nervous about this market, and, I think, about tech stocks in particular (not just I-nut stocks). I have to confess--as I have said more than once since around late May or June--that I am one of them, and have adjusted my portfolio (i.e., raised cash) accordingly.

What the excerpts that you quoted have in common is his view that they all exemplify the coming "nuclear winter" in stocks and how people appear, to him, to ignore all of the signs that stocks in general are enormously over-valued, rationalizing each piece of bad news as either not really bad, or actually good in disguise (the quake may slow production, but prices will rise or at least stabilize). He thinks Apple was lying about MOT not delivering enough G4 chips (MOT itself said Apple knew how many they could deliver, and there was no shortfall as alleged, they got what MOT told them they would get), that actually there has been a slowdown in sales of I-Macs, and they are covering it up. I agree with your criticism of his use of WDC, I was even thinking of sending him a note saying essentially what you said in your post, that their problems are partly sector problems but partly of their own making and shouldn't be used to exemplify problems of demand in PC-land. In fact, it seems to me that demand is not the problem in PC-land, overly aggressive pricing is, the same problem that drives have.

I dunno, now that I read your post, and reflect on it, I'm not sure why I thought last night that it was worth posting. It seemed like it then, it doesn't seem much like it now. Apologies for rambling.
Regards,
Sam