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To: TREND1 who wrote (48631)9/23/1999 4:33:00 PM
From: John Chen  Respond to of 53903
 
Larry,re: "very...serious". I hear you. Loud and clear.
Just don't last like the Japanese. In Japan, people are
very discipline. If what happens in Japans happens in
U.S., forget it, you see a lot more people going to
postal office.

The problem is only the 'KNOW HOW' guys know how much
real money we have in the system and how much is on credit.
Or a pyramid that I buy you, you buy him, him buy her, her
buy ... and nobody know who is buying who except that we
are all rich, at least so far.



To: TREND1 who wrote (48631)9/23/1999 4:40:00 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 53903
 
Larry I concur, I have two major target areas now, 9400 and 7800 on the Dow. Pretty scarry in the first case and a long term affair, a full year ahead of "schedfule if the second develop. Right now, I still do not see anything more serious that the mid 9000 as target and a powerful year end rally going well into election year. I still have a major bear in 2001 (first presidential year always a tough one and with the market as overvalued as it is, who knows.

The only reason I am still bullish for 2000 (after a major correction which I believe we are only half way through) is massive excess of liquidity in the system.

How will that new development impact the scenario? I do not think it will much. I think that the brunt of the decline will be in the DOT, financials, transportation, utilities and other such (like major cyclicals, but not oil), while the SOX should hold in the 460 to 500 area, but who knows. If MU closes under $72.5, the scenario will have to be shelved for a good 4 to 6 months, IMHO.

Zeev



To: TREND1 who wrote (48631)9/24/1999 7:51:00 AM
From: Bipin Prasad  Respond to of 53903
 
from bloomberg:
......

TSMC Recovery

TSMC said today that it secured an agreement from local
power companies to begin receiving 85 percent of its normal
electrical needs by Saturday.
''With our own generator power as a supplement, this is
adequate to get us up and running,'' said Ron Norris, senior vice
president of worldwide marketing and sales for TSMC. ''Today we
received some additional power allocation and are running at
about 25 percent.''

Many of Taiwan's high-technology firms are based at Hsinchu
Science Park, which has been shut since Tuesday. The normal
combined output of companies there is more than NT$2 billion per
day, according to the Securities and Futures Commission.

Taiwan Power Co., the island's near-monopoly, said most of
the power would soon be restored to Hsinchu Park.

UMC Group, a semiconductor group whose units include United
Microelectronics Corp., United Semiconductor Corp. and UTEK
Semiconductor Corp., said it would need up to three additional
days after Taipower restores electrical supplies to complete
inspections and maintenance before returning to normal
operations. It plans to report its status on Monday.

......



To: TREND1 who wrote (48631)9/24/1999 11:19:00 AM
From: TREND1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
MU TA UPDATE
If MU closes today below 77 9/16 then
test of 72 1/2 would be under way.
Larry Dudash