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To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (28979)9/24/1999 9:13:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
To: Jeff Jordan who wrote (143)
From: IQBAL LATIF Friday, Sep 24 1999 8:58AM ET
Reply # of 149

Supports like 1382 and 1367 are two points to watch with the 50 days mA on NDX say 2360 area don't trouble to short at that area let it break...
on the upside the 'steel collar' is at 1300 on SPZ, ofcourse now 10540 area becomes the reissitance if we have second close below it today and 1300 on SPZ is the reisitance with NDX 2500 and 630 on DOT and SOX 530 and BKX 750.. so here we are today in a land where instead of supports we are loooking at the iverhead reistances ..Thanks Jeff..




To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (28979)9/24/1999 9:21:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
SOX remains my area of interest a close below 520 will potentially put us in a position for a retracement to 480 area so for me the guiding thing would be to keep trading SPZ puts options on hte futures, the most productive... if we are seeing continuing weakness and close on SOX and DOT 612. we need that strategy to come in play, below 1280 buy 1240 puts and sell 1350's or 1340's with very nimble foot to cover the calls and puts at 1367-5 area..



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (28979)9/24/1999 12:10:00 PM
From: Lee Lichterman III  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
I understand the difference between feelings and trading but I also know the difference between fundamentals and trading. My post to you was in reference to your statement that the exuberance had been erased out of this market. MU is not worth it's current price in fundamental value but it is there because the traders are bidding it up in irrational exuberance that MU might actually make money someday. The current price would take hundreds of thousands of years of profit to be fair value. I am still not short it yet but was planning on putting the first third on when it reached my yellow dotted line that was less than two points from the high so I just missed this down leg with a third of a position.

I will today point to a different example of exuberance. AOL was up over 6 points today only one day after the mindspring merger that everyone expects to push AOL hard and threatens to knock them off their already eroding pedastle. When nuts still go up inthe face of bad news, a dropping market etc, there is plenty of irrational exuberance to go around.

We haven't even come close to the amount of fear needed to get rid of the J6P market only goes up enthusiasm yet.

Still waiting for that little bounce to go short some more. <ggg> My target today was going to be FON before the MCI merger news came out, so got out of that by the skin of my teeth <g>

Note the bond is up and the TYX is down and it ain't due to good news in the bond market. It is called money fleeing the stock market looking for a safe haven. No one in their right mind would be buying stocks here for buy and hold. This is scalpers and day traders only territory here.

PS - I guarantee you I will be short MU by April of next year and I will make at least 300% minimum. DRAM will not stay up more than the next 3-4 months, give it a little extra for the time delay of X-mas lies season and the drop should start early next year to summer. <ng>

Good Luck,

Lee



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (28979)9/27/1999 12:35:00 AM
From: P314159d  Respond to of 50167
 
Just a quick thought...

any chip that can't get into the machine is a problem for anyone in the chain.

Should there be disruption of any chip in the PC who cares if it is memory or say the disk controller or whatever. Everyone loses due to the disruption. Believe me we have to scramble due to Xilinx chips under fire.