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To: Logain Ablar who wrote (16735)9/25/1999 11:51:00 PM
From: Andrew Vance  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17305
 
*AV*--You hit the nail on the head and most of the readers were given full warning ahead of time to do just that. Lots of cash on the side ready to take advantage of the upcoming bargains. I know many readers headed for the sidelines and are already looking at 15-20% discounts on many stocks.

Admittedly, PUTs, other options, shorting, etc. (the negative side) is something we do not choose to do that often. However, if a reader chooses to do that, they know that when we call a reversal cycle, it is a good time to think about the negative side of the market and how to benefit.

I did short 2 stocks that I did not talk about in the newsletter since I do not adovcate the negative side and it is way too risky.

We did well to exit when we did and we have yet to call a re-entry. We are just coming up with a short list of 10 or less stocks that stand the best chances of making the largest percentage gains WHEN these stock recover.

I like most of your list, need to check out some that I am not familiar with, but question three stocks FRO, NN, and SYBS. I will do further checking on them though.

AV



To: Logain Ablar who wrote (16735)9/28/1999 4:54:00 PM
From: Kachina  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 17305
 
Just a note.
I would be very cautious about betting against Microsoft. And thinking that Windows 2000 won't sell, while a nice thought, is silly.

Two things to remember relative to Microsoft.
1. An unusually large percentage of the stock is in private hands, they hands of employees and ex-employees. They have proven amazingly loyal.
2. Microsoft still occupies the most lucrative part of the software market. Their profitability is simply phenomenal. They make more off Apple computers than Apple does.
3. They have that model down. It is proven, and it works. Sell the OS, and tightly couple the OS with applications, and sell them together. Resell over and over to the huge base. Go for broke and take no prisoners.

In short, while MSFT is probably overvalued, betting against them is not wise.