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To: ld5030 who wrote (15543)9/25/1999 3:29:00 PM
From: Sleeper  Respond to of 29970
 
Don't know about how marked he is (and couldn't care less), but Ahhaha offers nothing that can't be obtained elsewhere with far less rhetoric and hassle. You can stop digging through the pile of horsesh*t, there is no pony underneath it after all!

Sleeper



To: ld5030 who wrote (15543)9/25/1999 5:35:00 PM
From: MIKE REDDERT  Respond to of 29970
 
No offense ID, but do you really believe this ? In all the years that I have been on SI, I have never accepted the word of any poster, without verifying it myself. I consider anything posted here as the beginning of further research.

With the investment resources available nowadays, you and I are privy to all of the information that is posted on these threads. If you don't use that convenience, you will one day be separated from a lot of money.

Let me give you an example. A few posts back Ah said that his estimate of ATHM's FY '01 earnings was .63, and that this estimate was in line with the "street". He went on to say that he expected 5 yr. growth of about 30 % as sustainable.

Reality... on the day that he posted this, First Call estimates were .41 for FY '01 and a 72% projected 5 yr. growth rate... but let's look at the estimates before we take that 72% too seriously. Estimates:

FY 99 (.04)
FY 00 .17
FY 01 .41

Take out your calculator, and figure out the first two years compounded growth rate. Then figure out how much money ATHM would have to lose in the next 3 years to get to a 30% growth rate. Then ask yourself if it would be reasonable to expect ATHM to lose money in the final 3 years of the current 5 yr. cycle.

I've posted this before, and only give it again to make this point: If you didn't catch this, how do you know that there are not other errors that you have accepted as fact ?

Mike