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To: Peter J Hudson who wrote (2389)9/26/1999 12:08:00 AM
From: D.J.Smyth  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 34857
 
<This model assumes no subscriber growth and no population growth for ten years>

No, several GSM models assume a fixed rate (growth known, total known, however you want to quanitify it) of known subscribers now and in the distant future, it could be three years, five, ten. ten is not a magic number. the time is only relevant to the cost per user in an upgrade scnenario. Germany's, France's, Italy's, or England's total population count hasn't changed dramatically over the past ten years, so I used "ten" as a number only relative to this fact. They've been able to predict with superb accuracy the population increase in the number of MOBILE users at given times within any given population. GSM worked in this enviornment. why are you starting with insults? doesn't 200 million GSM handsets next year say anything to you? 40 million TDMA handsets? what is your point? Why are you so hung up on seeing a CDMA picture for every situation?