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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: re3 who wrote (27353)9/26/1999 4:22:00 PM
From: Sergio H  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 99985
 
TIMING THE MARKET

OCT. 16, 1987 - Dow falls 108.35 (-5%), marking the fist Dow loss of over 100 points in the history of the Dow.

OCT. 19, 1987 - Better known as "Black Monday" - Dow falls 508 points (-30%).

Market correction lasted just a few days. Trend was established and over with before most people realized there was a correction. So much for market timing.

Sergio



To: re3 who wrote (27353)9/26/1999 4:27:00 PM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
<<but the mania may have ended a week ago or
may run for a few more months yet.>> the mania factor is what is making these calls so tough near term--most especially in NETS(due to the XMAS season drum beating) and in the tech IPOS,such as RBAK and RHAT.
I myself will probably add a call position to my Oct puts on EBAY--tomorrow---have to see how it opens---actually,I hoping for EBAY to have a BAD day tomorrow in order to place a call position.Good Luck,Max---PS But I do believe the mania factor is dealt with here-



To: re3 who wrote (27353)9/26/1999 4:28:00 PM
From: Casaubon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
if you're not going to post anything relevant to the forum, why keep posting here?

the DJIA has just verified a triple top, with the moderate volume breakdown below the 10,400 horizontal support line.
Frequently return moves to the broken support line (10,400 in this instance) occur on lighter volume. Such a return move, and close below 10,400 would cement this trend reversal. Projection of the height of the pattern puts support around 9,500 on the dow.