To: Patrick E.McDaniel who wrote (142991 ) 9/27/1999 10:02:00 PM From: Ian@SI Respond to of 176387
Rambus Falls 12% After Downgrades, Chipset Delay NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Rambus Inc. (RMBS) shares fell around 16% Monday morning after Intel Corp. (INTC) confirmed it would delay the introduction of a chipset that depends on Rambus' technology. Rambus stock dropped 19% Friday on talk that Intel would have to delay the product. Shares were currently trading at 59 3/4, down 11 3/8 on volume of over 2.5 million shares versus average volume of 1.3 million. Two securities firms, SG Cowen & Co. and Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, cut their ratings on the stock Monday, following a cut by BancBoston Robertson Stephens & Co. on Friday. Cowen analyst Drew Peck cut his investment opinion to neutral from buy, and Morgan analyst Mark Edelstone cut his rating to outperform from strong buy. In a press release Monday, Intel said it would delay the introduction of the 820 chipset until it solves problems that could result in memory errors. Intel shares were up 3 5/64, or 4.1%, to 78 3/4. Dell Computer Corp. (DELL) had planned to introduce PCs with Rambus technology Monday. But those plans were scrubbed when problems were discovered with the chipset. This is the second delay for the Rambus-enhanced memory chips, which promise eight times the performance of typical DRAM chips. And neither Rambus nor Intel is projecting when the product will hit the market. That's what has Wall Street worried. "In my view, the greatest risk to Rambus has been delays in the introduction of the technology," said Drew Peck, an analyst at SG Cowen. "Delays open the window wider for potential competitors." Other methods of super-charging computer memory include a technology called DDR, for direct data rate, Peck said. "That's being promoted as a free standard," Peck said, in contrast to Rambus' model of getting royalties for its technology. "The performance (of DDR) may not be as high, but it may be good enough." Intel said it hasn't changed its commitment to the Rambus technology, known as R-DRAM. "It's still on our roadmap," said Chuck Mulloy, an Intel spokesman. "We still believe it's the best solution." In a research note accompanying the downgrade, Morgan Stanley analyst Edelstone wrote that PCs using the 820 chipset will likely be delayed until the first quarter of 2000. Edelstone said he continues to believe that Rambus' "long-term earning power will likely be unchanged." But he now anticipates Rambus technology will be inside only 10% to 15% of all PCs next year, down from a previous estimate of 20% to 25%. Edelstone wrote that he still expects Rambus technology to be the memory standard in the PC market in the next three to five years. But because of the delay, the near-term catalyst for the stock has been "eliminated." The analyst blamed Intel for the delays, claiming that the company "botched the marketing" of the Rambus technology. -Christopher Grimes