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To: Stoctrash who wrote (45524)9/28/1999 1:22:00 PM
From: Black-Scholes  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 50808
 
OT - FredE, The NASD is selling off again. This is really scary action that I haven't seen in a long time. What the Hell is everyone so God$#@& spooked about?



To: Stoctrash who wrote (45524)9/28/1999 2:23:00 PM
From: Black-Scholes  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 50808
 
Ralph Acompuora (sp?) just went bearish - from CNBC.



To: Stoctrash who wrote (45524)9/30/1999 11:37:00 AM
From: BillyG  Respond to of 50808
 
Boats, tubes, and fabs..........

Shortage of quartz tubes, boats could sink ramp up of fabs in Taiwan

By Jack Robertson
Semiconductor Business News
(09/30/99, 11:19:15 AM EDT)

WASHINGTON -- Even as Taiwan foundries and chip makers claim they are
restoring full fab capacity after last week's earthquake, they are facing major
production hurdles in replacing untold numbers of critical quartz tubes and boats
needed in furnace processing, according to global suppliers.

Many quartzware vendors said this week that they have been swamped by
inquiries from Taiwan fabs trying to replace tubes and boats damaged in the
powerful quake. The quartz products were already in critically short supply before
the Taiwan tremor because of the recent upsurge in global chip production.

Quartzware suppliers said they will be hard-pressed to ramp up quickly to meet
the added onslaught of Taiwan orders.

Roger Wood, vice president operations for Tosoh Quartz Group's U..S..subsidiary
in Portland, Ore., said most quartzware makers had sharply scaled back during
the last two year's downturn. These supplier must find scarce skilled workers to
build back staffs that had been cut back sharply, he added. The "instant order"
avalanche from Taiwan is the equivalent of more than 30 new fabs coming on line
all wanting quartzware at once, Wood added.

Won Ik Quartz Group, which has a manufacturing facility in Taiwan, could not
meet immediate demand by the quake-impacted fabs and was pressing the firm's
U.S. subsidiary, based in Morgan Hills, Calif., for any available inventory that
could be shipped.

The task of finding enough quartz tubes and boats for full production in fabs is the
major choke-point for Taiwan chip makers, said Danny Lam, an analyst and
director of Fisher-Holstein Inc. in Wilimington, Del.

"Even when the fabs restore equipment to full operating capability, they must
replace the damaged quartzware to resume producing at full capacity," Lam
observed.

Earlier this week, Dataquest in San Jose warned that shortage of quartz could be
the major hurdle Taiwan fabs must surmount before they are back in full
production. The quartzware shortage shortage could cause some fabs to sit idle,
warned analyst Jim Handy of Dataquest, which believes some plants could find it
difficult to resume production at the levels prior to last week's earthquake because
of material shortages and problems with fab gear (see Sept. 29 story).

Quartz boats hold large numbers of wafers -- up to 126 in the largest
configurations -- while substrates are processed in chemical deposition chambers.
These chambers also have quartz liners, called tubes, to protect the wafers during
the extremely high-temperature processing.

Tosoh's Wood said quartz boats and tubes are cracked and damaged even in
normal processing, but they would be unusually susceptible to damage in the
jostling and shaking of a major earthquake. If backup power generation didn't
switch on quickly after the quake, the loss of heat in the furnaces would soon
crack the sensitive quartz parts, he added.

The extent of quartzware damage in Taiwan fabs hasn't been disclosed by the
semiconductor companies. A few have indicated they lost several hundred quartz
boats and tubes. Analyst Lam said a similar scale of quartz loss could be
expected at almost all of the Taiwan fabs.

The feverish market search for replacement quartzware by Taiwan fabs would also
indicate fairly high losses, Woods noted. Wafer fabs typically keep a small
backup inventory of most-widely used quartz boats to replace normal breakage.
However, boats come in many widely-varying configurations, and more specialized
types could be much harder to replace. Quartz tubes in furnaces, which don't have
the same level of breakage in normal operations, typically would have few spares
on hand.

It takes quartz boat and tube manufacturers roughly a week--sometimes two for
more special products--to produce boats and tubes. But the quartzware firms
claimed they are facing their own shortage of obtaining enough raw material.

The sudden influx of Taiwan orders is expected to swamp the materials market,
causing further delay in producing large quantities of new quartz items.

Vendors also warned that the instant demand from Taiwan must also fight for their
strained capacity along with the rapidly escalating orders from other global chip
makers. "There is going to a tight supply and prices are certainly going to rise,"
Woods predicted.