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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dan Duchardt who wrote (11623)9/29/1999 5:49:00 PM
From: Herm  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 14162
 
Hi Dan and Lurkers out there!

As you know by now, ROST is up today to $20 1/4 +3/16s and
your 20s Oct are going @ bid 13/16 - ask 1 last 7/8s. The -
Volatility -- 20 Day: 35.5% Half Year: 31% which is low.
The time decay is kicking in Dan.

You would need to clear $20+1 1/4=$21.25 for a possible
B.E. on exercising the stock and CCing to lower your net
cost basis. Is it likely? Sure, with a market rally after
this oversold condition that is starting to worry people.

NASDAQ: (ROST : $20 1/4) $1,930 million Market Cap at
September 29, 1999 Ranks 547th in the Fortune 1,000 on
Revenue & 527th on Profit. Employs 20,100. Trades at a 43%
Discount PE Multiple of 12.1 X, vs. the 21.3 X average
multiple at which the Discount & Variety Stores SubIndustry
is priced. Discount & Variety Stores SubIndustry up .69% /
Retailers Industry down < .56> Today



To: Dan Duchardt who wrote (11623)10/5/1999 10:00:00 AM
From: Herm  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 14162
 
Goodmorning Dan and Fellow Lurkers!

Well, Dan! You should be feeling pretty good as of
yesterday with ROST. Very nice climb! This stock did
practically the exact price movements. This stock is still
a CC workhorse with fair to moderate occasional risk. I
would project ROST at the next overhead resistance level of
$23 before the expiration date.

iqc.com

My 6 long ROST sideshow calls for the 22s OCT are slightly
in the money as of yesterday and should be well into the
money by the Oct. expiration. Especially, since I'm suspect
we may see a market rally for the rest of the week.
Everyone is spooked right now and the markets are bound to
do just the opposite. RideEm CCers.

As a side note, I would like to comment on my own portfolio.
The recent market downturn came and went with little impact
to my portfolio. It practically is the same value. Thus, my
defensive WINs CCing provided a very nice neutral profit
holding outcome.

My portfolio never fluctuated up and down by more than a
mere 1%. The long CCers buyers ate the lost and I get to
keep the bulk of their premies. Further, I had nights of
restful sleep not worrying about the money! Losing
sleep over money is the worse state of mind to be in. It
impacts your health and mental well being. Don't be prideful
and try to figure it out yourself. Ask for help! That is the
value of forums like this. You can be proud and not admit a
mistake and go right into the $$$ abyss. A very expense
lesson. Trust me, I have been there myself. No Mas! No Mas!

ITDS I'm tempted to cover my CCs on this darlin of a
stock hit by some massive selling not to long ago. The chart
is showing some solid consolidation and a narrowing of the
upper and lower BBs a horizontal to slightly upward moving
average is a good sign ITDS is ready to gap. The recent
take over news mentioned a buy price of $10.50 and the stock
is selling for $8.00+. So, there is upward value potential.
Add the CCs and you have a cheap CCing stock candidate
capable of a compounded 50% annual ROI easily.

WINs Email Corner Many thanks to Bruce who reads our
forum and emailed me from Prague, Czech Republic. Bruce is
an American educator working in far out lands on planet
earth. That experience is something I often dreamed about
and never did myself. You see, I'm also in the field of
education and not the investment industry. So, I do relate
to you folks out there. I'm no different than the rest of
you.

Indeed! I understand we have some people from 50 countries
around the world interested in CCing for income. Also, I
have yet to hear any complaints about WINs not working or
they don't make money. That is the best part for all of us!
How can free information be so effective?

So, in my column (The WINs Corner) in the next issue of the
FREE newsletters at coveredcalls.com I will be
sharing Bruce's very nice contribution called the WINs
Quick Reference Card. Leave it to those teachers to create
very nice visuals. The card basically categories the
technical indicators of the BB and RSI relative to the WINs
phase of the price movement. In other words, all the "signs"
which are repeated over and over. It is not to be used
before you have an understanding of WINs in the first place.
I'm almost leery to release it because there will be
some people looking for a quick Wade Cook type mega success
by just reading one page of summary notes and never
investing the time to learn about the WINs approach. Those
are the type of folks that can eat up my time and yours.

Hint, I liked it so much that the interactive WINs CD will
include the Quick Reference Card with hyperlinks for chart
reinforcing examples.