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Strategies & Market Trends : India Coffee House -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nandu who wrote (7346)	9/29/1999 5:36:00 PM
From: sea_biscuit	Respond to of 12475

Well, things don't look good, do they? The rickety, ragtag, ramshackle coalition of 24 parties called the National Democratic Alliance seems to be on the brink of collapse even before the elections could be completed! So much for all the tall claims about stability! ;-) Article : TD defeat may end support to BJP at Centre Hyderabad: The bonhomie between the Telugu Desam and the BJP at the Centre may come to a nought if the BJP fails to secure the required number of Assembly seats in the State to bail out the TD, as the ruling party is tipped to fall short of majority in the Assembly elections. In fact, both the parties were reluctant partners in seat-sharing for the elections. Though the TD president had put up a brave front and claimed that his party would return to power with a thumping majority, his nagging worry was that his party might lose the race by a slender margin. His main concern is about the poll prospects of its ally, the Bharatiya Janata Party . "In case TD loses power, there will be no love lost between the BJP and Naidu," a TD leader remarked.Under the seat-sharing agreement, Naidu had allotted 24 Assembly seats for the BJP in the State. Intelligence reports indicated that the BJP could win in about four or five constituencies only. This is what seems to be troubling Naidu now. In case the Congress makes up in about 20 Assembly segments where the BJP is certain to lose, this may well be the required magic number for the Congress to clinch power. In majority of these 24 segments, the TD leaders worked against the BJP candidates, more so by the 14-odd Telugu Desam MLAs who were dropped to make way for the poll ally. Some of the TD leaders contested as rebel candidates in the constituencies allotted for the BJP, including Hanmakonda segment. It is a known fact that at the ground level, there was no coordination between the BJP and the TD. Many BJP leaders had openly complained to the TD leadership that its party cadre ditched them in many constituencies. Some BJP leaders openly admitted that in the first and second phase of polls, the TD leaders ditched the BJP but sought their help in the third phase. "This was because the BJP was strong in Telangana region," a BJP leader pointed out. The TD and BJP had also serious differences on several major issues. During the third phase of elections, the BJP in Telangana region went ahead with its separate Telanagana as poll plank, while the TD vehemently opposed it. However, Naidu is pinning his hopes on the women voters who, according to his estimate, voted en mass for the TD. One TD minister said, "In case majority of women voted against us, then the Congress would sweep the polls. Even if the Congress manages to grab 50 per cent of women votes, then also we would lose." Some TD leaders admitted that Naidu made a tactical mistake by aligning with the BJP. "Naidu should have snapped links with the BJP soon after the fall of Vajpayee government. He should have asked Lok Sabha Speaker G M C Balayogi to quit. In the elections, the TD should have opted for seat adjustments with our old allies- the Communist parties. After the elections, Naidu would have had the option to back the BJP again under the pretext that the Congress is his party's enemy number one. The seat adjustment with BJP may prove to be a costly mistake," another TD leader felt. On their part, the BJP leaders feel that the seat adjustments with the TD harmed their party more. "Without any poll tie-up with the TD, we would have secured more seats in the Assem-bly, mainly in Telangana. In ma-ny places, we failed to persuade our cadre to work for the TD candidates," a BJP leader said. This will put the modern-day "Chanakya", aka "uncle" Vajpayee in big trouble!<g> And once his popularity wanes, the rabid creatures of the RSS, VHP et. al. are sure to start baying for his blood. We do live in interesting times!