I don't have permission from lemetropolecafe.com to post this, but to me the GATA war is at a point where the other side will panic and try for one big massive take no prisoners and crush gold with nuclear and chemical and bio weapons.
So, pro gold and gold bugs all, read and prepare as things might get real nasty very soon.
The James Joyce Table Discussion du Jour: Gold, Commodities, Midas du Metropole
Midas du Metropole "The Gold Market and Precious Metals Commentary"
Q. Little Bear is in the 'doghouse'. Which table do you think he'd be under ? A. Gold, of course. But he is hopeful.
September 28, 1999 - Spot Gold $308.80 up $26.20 - Spot Silver $5.76 up 42 cents
Summary of This Extraordinary Day in the Precious Metals Arena
The predictable is happening - plain and simple. What is always hard to know is the exact timing of when some event will kick off a chain of events that will produce market activity that one predicts.
All summer long Midas said:
1. The gold supply/deficit is 150 to 180 tonnes per month - since producers, on balance, were not selling, scrap supply was drying up, and central banks were not unloading, it meant borrowed gold was required to hold down the price. It was creating stress in the system.
2. That stress was evident in the lease rates which shot up from 1% to 4% +. That made it more uncomfortable for producers to sell forward and for speculators to borrow gold.
3. The gold loans were much bigger than the "disinformation, mainstream analyst crowd" were telling the world. Our camp said they were at least double the 4500 tonne number being floated.
4. Demand for gold was soaring. Physical supply was very tight. The August gold contract on Comex was almost squeezed - which was clear evidnence of the tightness in the gold market.
5. The market was being held down at unnatural levels by "Hannibal Cannibals," or, the bullion dealers - led by "Hannibal Lecter," Goldman Sachs.
6. Hedge funds and certain financial institutions were short hundreds of tonnes of gold and they had no way out in a pinch.
7. The silver market could explode at any time. My price prediction for silver before the end of the year had $9.78 since the beginning of the year. My price projection for gold by year end has always been $400. All of this can be checked out in previous Midas du Metropole commentary.
There were 3 other tidbits that were put on your plate at the Caf‚:
1. There were serious "government to government" negotiations going on that revolved around the BOE gold sale. That was the trigger that produced this recent European Central Bank announcement.
2. European central banks were going to restrict gold lending as the last half of the century came to an end.
3. Hedge funds were in Switzerland looking to secure physical gold supply.
The gold price is $309 today. That seems like a big deal - and is, compared to what we have been served by the "collusion crowd." But, gold should be trading at $509 not $309. Only the maligned machinations of an unsavory group of bullion dealers and, most likely, the N.Y. Fed has kept the price of gold from going to a much higher, natural equilibrium point.
Today, the prices of gold and silver moved in a fashion that few thought possible anymore. The reason most everyone thought that way is because of the $2 rule that the manipulators put in place to control the gold market and minimize any excitement for its price prospects. That I have document to you ad nauseum. The negative publicity launched about gold by the "big money crowd" was unprecedented. They tried to delude the world that "gold was dead." That adjective may be applied to the gold shorts soon.
It was clear after the last BOE sale and gold rose $6, that the "manipulators" were losing control of their operation. When the European central banks announced they were going to curtail the amount of gold available for lease over the next five years, it sealed their doom. That was the supply they needed to hold down the price.
And that is what the gold shorts are: doomed! The big borrowed gold supply is history. Only a much much higher gold price will slow down demand to satisfy gold mine and scrap supply.
Gold lease rates were 4.58% to 4.84% today. The implications of these high lease rates are staggering for both producers and speculators alike. It does not make much sense to borrow gold. Why do so? The bearish analysis of the bullion dealer crowd and their crony, Gold Fields Mineral Services, are now discredited - at least, that is what many are telling me now.
It is not only gold shorts that have big, big problems. The silver lease rates are now 5.88% to 7.76%. The one month silver lease rate shot up about 400% today. In the past when silver lease rates have surged like this, the price of silver has zoomed.
The one month platinum lease rate is 11.38 %. Want to borrow platinum? Some deal!
We are going into the end of the millenium - an extraordinary time in history. Y2k concerns abound. Lending will become more restrictive - not less. There is no reason to believe that lease rates will return anywhere near the historic norm for some time - and maybe not for the next five years. It is a "brand new day."
The dye is cast. The precious metals markets are going uptown, but, as I said the other day, we have won a battle. We will win the war after a few more battles.
This is what I mean by that. The shorts are big, egomaniacs, powerful, ruthless, press controlling and feared by most. In a way, I think they are pathetic. It was what the little guy in America has railed against for centuries - the big money bankers. Certainly, William Jennings Bryan made this case in his famous "Cross of Gold" speech in the U.S. Congress.
You see, America preaches free markets and freedom of the press; unless, the big money crowd does not like what you say or what you do. It is even worse if they take big positions in a trade and it goes against them. Remember my "Peoples Republic of America," "The United States of China." That is what happens when the press is told that someone or some idea is "persona non gratta." In jive talk today - they "dis" you.
I do not want to be a sourpuss on such a joyous day. Quite to the contrary, I am jubilant for all of the Caf‚ that has been waiting for days like these for oh so very long. However, it is the war we must win, not just the battle.
Thus, you must know that when Dec. gold was trading at $329 today, "Hannibal Lecter" (Goldman Sachs) struck and sold gold with a vengeance. The gold market dropped a quick $23. For some time I have drawn the close connection that the Goldman Sachs has with the N.Y. Fed. You must know that it is 9 PM in Dallas and I just received a phone call from one of my best sources confirming all that I heard today: "the selling by Goldman Sachs was from resources made available by the N.Y. Fed."
From two banking sources I heard that the N.Y Fed spread the word that it knew that long bond/short gold spreads were being unwound and it was standing guard under the bond market to support it. One of my sources said at one point the bond market and the gold market were trading in succinct inverse fashion to each other. RIGHT before the gold market was hit by Goldman Sachs, the bond market surged. Very conveniently.
At that exact same time, the N.Y Fed "was jawboning dealers not to force delivery on those that are short metal." A flagrant violation of free market principles and a sign of how desperate the shorts are - which I have been howling about for weeks and weeks. This is evidence of all we have been saying: the gold market has been manipulated and controlled.
This stinks to high heaven and that is why our message must be sent out to the world. Those guys manipulate the gold market and cause untold suffering. Then, when they are about to be taken to the cleaners, they start tinkering with the rules of the game. Their manipulation ways do not end; they just change to the changing situation to suit their own ends. Yes, just like Communism - the end justifies the means. THEIR MEANS
To give you an idea of how desperate they are, I learned the following from a new impeccable source today. A dealer that knows about all the "gold flows" has informed me that the following hedge funds are short the following amounts of gold:
Tiger - 15 million ounces Tudor - 12 million ounces Long Term Capital Management - 17.5 million ounces Moore Capital - 25 million ounces Victor Neiderhoffer - 10 million ounces (this famous Wall Street character was thought to have gone under, but I guess he is like a cat with nine lives. They tell me he is back. Perhaps, his short gold trade will be his swan song)
That is a lot of gold and these hedge funds have only begun to cover. There is no way they could all cover tomorrow without driving the gold price up $75 per oz. Here is some more poop: John Henry was short 8 million ounces, but is now reported to be long 5 million. George Soros is taking on the shorts or thinking of doing so.
There is too much to talk about here. How about this LTCM! Not only did this info surface one time today, it surfaced twice. Nesbitt Burns told its listeners in a conference call today that they had reliable information that LTCM was short 400 tonnes of gold. This goes back to the N.Y Fed bailout of Long Term and when the gold market manipulation started in earnest. Or, at least that is when I caught on to what was going on.
But, LTCM sent me a notarized affidavit denying they were short gold. This requires serious investigation, one more time.
This whole gold market manipulation affair is revolting and, in the end, could become the biggest financial scandal in U.S. history.
Today was glorious. At one point, gold was up $44 and silver approached $6. Platinum finished the day at $413. The CRB was up 3.54 to finish at 207.97. Where are the deflation boys - explaining how the low price of gold said all was: oh so well.? Coach, let me in the game. I want to debate Lawrence "of America" Kudlow who is CNBC's glamour economist.
There is no doubt in my mind that the precious metals are going to soar in price. But, we must be prepared to deal with our hideous opponents. Today, I was informed that a major story on the gold market was squashed by one of the leading financial publications in the world. That is not gossip, that is fact. Sinister forces are at work.
Because they are so desperate, we must be on the alert for some sort of weird ploys. You can be sure they are coming. This is a devious lot. However, no matter what they do, they will lose in the end. Truth and the natural forces of markets will do them in.
Many of you were concerned that the XAU closed slightly lower today after its big run. Three points. One, the XAU has been trading light years ahead of bullion. Two, some of the XAU producers have too many forward sales in place and three, our protagonists found an ECB official who "questioned whether this week's gains had risen above levels supported by Sunday's announcement of a ceiling of bullion sales."
On an upper, it was announced late this afternoon that Bill Gates has taken a 10.3% stake in Pan American Silver through Cascade Investment LLC, the investment vehicle of Microsoft Corp. That sort of news can only add positive sentiment about the future of silver prices and silver mining companies.
Midas |