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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (27920)	9/29/1999 9:24:00 PM
From: donald sew	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

Heinz, Well, Im coming out with another one of my WARNINGs!! Earlier this morning I notice another ANOMOLY which was that the SPX/OEX was leading the NAZ and DOW to the downside. Normally the SPX/OEX relatively trades inbetween the DOW and SPX. As we discussed earlier, it gives the strong impression that the market is selling the big caps. This WARNING is different than the other 2 I posted recently, in that it does not have statistical viability as the other 2, and therefore should be treated accordingly. Another way of putting it is that the probability is very low that it will work. Nevertherless I think it is important to mention due to its ramification. I have noticed that this type of anomoly in the past can produced violent moves, and at other times it just gets absorbed into the market and fades away. Again the chances are slim and probably will not come about, but it is important enough to mention. EDIT: also wanted to add the issue of time frame, which would be over the next few days, prior to the FOMC meeting. seeya