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To: Carl R. who wrote (9000)9/30/1999 10:03:00 AM
From: Wally Mastroly  Respond to of 15132
 
Re: Inventories - another possible reason for inventories to grow (besides upcoming holiday season,etc.):

bloomberg.com

-
The U.S. economy grew in
the second quarter at its slowest pace in four years, as
businesses accumulated inventories at a much slower pace,
government figures showed. The need to rebuild stockpiles could
cause growth to pick up in the rest of 1999, analysts said.

Gross domestic product rose at a revised 1.6 percent annual
rate in the second quarter, down from the Commerce Department's
previous estimate of a 1.8 percent increase and the lowest
reading since a 0.4 percent rate in the second quarter of 1995.
In the first quarter, GDP grew at a 4.3 percent pace.
''We're expecting inventories to pick up in the second half
of the year,'' said Mark Vitner, an economist at First Union
Corp. In Charlotte. ''Inventories are very, very lean right now.
I would think the GDP numbers going forward will be very
strong.'' The economy probably grew at a 4 percent annual rate in
the third quarter, according to a Bloomberg News survey of 24
economists.

The final revisions to second-quarter GDP showed inventories
accumulated at a much slower pace than previously estimated,
rising $7.4 billion instead of the previously estimated $12.1...