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Technology Stocks : MRV Communications (MRVC) opinions? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sector Investor who wrote (16116)10/1/1999 12:21:00 PM
From: Sector Investor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42804
 
Another Van Kasper update:

MRV Communications * (NASD: MRVC $23 5/8, Strong Buy) Price Target: $40

- Yesterday Juniper Networks, Inc. (NASD: JNPR, Not Rated), announced that it has made a "significant" investment in MRVC's New Access subsidiary. Juniper also disclosed that its cofounder and Chief Technology Officer, Pradeep Sindhu, would take a board seat with New Access. We believe this announcement is just the lemon next to the pie and will have multiple positive implications for investors in MRVC and its subsidiaries including:

1. Validation of New Access's and MRVC's technology.

2. Affirmation of MRVC's commitment to its "pureplay" monetization strategy of New Access and its four other subsidiaries ( Optical Access, Charlottes Web, Zuma Networks and Hyperchannel).

3. Increased probability of market penetration New Access's optical solution, given Juniper Networks solid business relationship with major carriers and Internet service providers such as MCI/Worldcom (NASD: WCOM, Not Rated) and UUNet.


-It is our opinion that this announcement is among the first of many announcements to be disclosed over the next several quarters regarding significant partners, beta sites with major service providers, additional talent and IPO filings. More importantly, we believe, as does some other "smart money" (i.e. Juniper Networks), that these "announcements" will lead to sell through over the next year.

- As we stated in our initial report, we estimate that each of MRVC's five high margin next generation products has the potential to add $25 million to $50 million of revenue in F2000. Given today's market valuations of companies that have the potential to produce $125 million to $250 million of internet backbone equipment revenue, such as Juniper, Redback(NASD: RBAK, Not Rated), Extreme Networks (NASD: EXTR, Not Rated), Alteon (OTC: ALTNC, Not Rated) and Foundry (NASD: FDRY, Not Rated), the hypothetical "success" price of $202.82 per share ($6 billion market cap.) for MRVC shares that we listed in our initial report has become a middle of the road valuation.

- We reiterate our Strong Buy recommendation with a 12-month stock price of $40 per share.

******

Hey, can I pick 'em or what? 12 months to $40 - maybe 12 days!



To: Sector Investor who wrote (16116)10/1/1999 12:31:00 PM
From: Greg h2o  Respond to of 42804
 
<< That additional 5% would have cost them another $250,000, reducing Q2 to only $0.01 - below what the street was expecting.>>
Sector, i could be mistaken, but i doubt they would have been able to expense the purchase of those shares. It would have been merely a balance sheet investment, unless they considered it R&D (which i don't think there's any way they could have done that). so, i don't think it would have had any made any difference in earnings.