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Strategies & Market Trends : Rande Is . . . HOME -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Tummus1 who wrote (13060)	10/1/1999 8:30:00 PM
From: Rande Is	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 57584

Twest, you used the example of a coin toss. . .so I will use the same example to illustrate my point. Toss 10 steel coins next to the side of a magnet. Perhaps half of them will be attracted to the magnet. Now start over and toss 100 coins all at once next to the magnet. Perhaps 10 will be attracted. This is double the first amount but only 20% of the total number thrown. Now toss 1000 steel coins. Say you get 40 attracted to the magnet. That is 8 times the original number, yet only 4 percent of the total. Dump 10,000 coins and you might see 150 get attracted. That is 1.5% of all coins dumped. . . a long long way from the 50 percent that were attracted in the first example. Hardly a fallacy. Likewise, I would be very interested in the difference between illness percentages to the population in a 10 mile radius compared to the percentages of population within a 2 mile radius. And it may very well be clean. But I am not going to just give the scientists the benefit of the doubt, any more than I will trust whatever medicine a doctor hands out. Today I spent two hours researching prednisone and whether or not it metabolizes in the kidneys. . .still don't have positive answer and I need to know by morning. . . For that matter, I was once told by a team of Stanford Medical Center pathologists that there were only 5 known cases of Hodgkins disease with jaundice. . . I was told to trust them because they were professionals. I told them I doubted that they had accurate information. And after 3 days of endless research at the Stanford Medical Library [no computers to help], I emerged with a 100 page report showing 105 known cases, the mortality rate, the case studies and a graphical comparison of the similarities and differences for the purpose of better understanding this rare and dreaded disease. . . all done in long hand. . . then I went to bed. Needless to say, they would not even open the report, let alone acknowledge that anyone might have a better handle on it than them. . .they said they already knew everything in my report. . a lie . . .they then sent my sister home to die. But the following week upon reviewing my work, the University of Pittsburgh Cancer Institute immediately made 50 copies and distributed them to their medical staff. Thank God, now 13 years later, she's the only known survivor of Hodgkins Disease with Jaundice. Twest, it is my job to look beyond what I am told. . for the untold story. . . to read THROUGH what is presented and sort truth from fiction. I do it all day long. . .every single day. Consequently, I do not trust blindly. . . especially where corporations, institutions, agencies or governments are concerned. So please forgive me if I sound argumentative. That is not my intent. I am merely looking at things with a slant that is often ignored. . .and rarely welcomed. Rande Is