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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sam Johnson who wrote (7389)10/3/1999 1:18:00 PM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
The constant refrain from brokers, when asked about a Gorilla, is that they have run up too much and are over priced. Advantage to us when we buy, of course. Then we sit here on the thread and whine that the stock is under priced and that the street does not understand it!



To: Sam Johnson who wrote (7389)10/3/1999 2:12:00 PM
From: Mike Buckley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
Sam,

Great post! Don't make it long before you become a second-time poster, third-time, and fourth, etc., etc.

investor bias ... actually IS a fundamental

The best example I can think of that supports that thought is the example of Cisco Systems. Investor bias helped propel and sustain the stock at higher and higher levels. Stock-based acquisitions became a significant strategy for the company. The successful implementation of the acquisitions fueled more and more investor bias to the point that the two became inextricably linked.

--Mike Buckley



To: Sam Johnson who wrote (7389)10/5/1999 11:50:00 PM
From: Rickus123  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
Hey, bro, I read your and Merlin's discussion of investor bias over the weekend with interest, made even more interesting by the fact that I didn't get around to reading it (and the other 250+ posts) until today, after the GMST/TVGuide thing went down.

In the long run, <investor bias> probably doesn't matter, but it strikes me as most relevant for the initial entry into a potential primate. If Rambus is truly gorilla material, market perception will eventually get on board, but spotting a Gemstar that may not have yet had it's coming-out party/defining event seems like a lot of fun.

Many here felt that a GMST/TVGuide settlement could be for GMST what the Ericy deal was to the Q (to a point, anyway), and that being ready to pull the trigger when that event occurred put the GG'er in a very happy spot, indeed. This event would serve the dual purpose of 1) removing a last obstacle to possibly establishing GMST's gorilla-hood and 2) signalling to the investment community that it was time to jump in (positive investor bias).

Well, we have a settlement. But the stock drops and everyone is left scratching their head. By Soros' estimation, would a recovery from this negative bias reinforce GMST's potential gorilla-ness in the eyes of investors? Will this reversal accelerate the stock's ultimate takeoff? Would this not constitute an even greater opportunity for the GG'er? On top of the fact that one can get in at a lower price currently. Who knows? (I sure don't)

I wonder what the reaction of those on this thread would have been had the Q's stock behaved similarly to GMST's when the Ericy deal was announced. Would there have been the same degree of hand-wringing that is evident now? Or would folks have jumped in with even more gusto (if possible)?

Just wanted to throw in my two cents...and lots of 'what ifs'

rick

BTW...RTQ Yankees 8...Rangers 0
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