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To: Patrick E.McDaniel who wrote (143833)	10/5/1999 2:23:00 PM
From: D.J.Smyth	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 176387

whose perception? ma and pa? how much do they own? maybe they already sold out. they'll show a bias and not tighten, they'll not show a bias and then tighten. they'll show a bias and then lower rates (as they did last year). it's so meaningless.

To: Patrick E.McDaniel who wrote (143833)	10/5/1999 2:38:00 PM
From: T.R.	Respond to of 176387

Patrick, IMHO...I don't think Greenspan and co will increase rates for the rest of this year and quite possibly not for the first month of the new year. I'm basing this on all the uncertainty of the market over "Y2K." Granted a lot of people are now saying it should have little impact on life in general. HOWEVER, there is still uncertainty and to compound the potential impact all the FED would have to do is raise interest rates. The recent lows on many stocks right now could look like premiums. Personally I believe the "Y2K" scenario was greatly over blown, however, there is always the possibility of some of our "hacker" friends taking advantage of the situation and creating their own "Y2K" fiascos. We might just as well brace ourselves for the litany of companies that will be blaming "Y2K" for being the creator of the flu virus, the Yugo and anything else that will deflect attention from their shortcomings. Tom