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Technology Stocks : Cymer (CYMI) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ian@SI who wrote (23178)10/5/1999 10:30:00 PM
From: Tsaen Wang  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 25960
 
Lambda Physik won Sematech order!

electronicnews.com



To: Ian@SI who wrote (23178)10/5/1999 10:40:00 PM
From: FJB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25960
 
Ian,

Ever since CYMI went public, Yahoos have been falsely claiming that everyone from Sylvania to Safeway to Komatsu was taking market share from CYMI. So far, for all practical purposes, CYMI has 100% share.

This is not true. Komatsu is being installed at Japanese end-users. I can recall Cymer stating as much in the last couple of conference calls. I don't believe anyone is investing in Cymer strictly on their market share. Being long is more of a bet on them retaining a very good share(70% to 80%) of a growing, and for Cymer, profitable market.

Bob



To: Ian@SI who wrote (23178)10/5/1999 10:44:00 PM
From: cluka  Respond to of 25960
 
Ian, FWIW from ML

NEWS
DUV Laser — Komatsu Taking Share
Richard Kaye, ML Tokyo Komatsu's domestic market
share has grown from 7% in Q1 98 to 66% Q1 99. Toshiba
(6502) uses Komatsu as its first vendor, and recently
bought the 2kHz laser, for a 204nm Nikon Scanner.
Komatsu has shipped three units to Taiwan, one to
Samsung, and expects to make its first shipment to ASML
next summer. Komatsu's prices are in line with Cymer's at
JPY40-50m ($370-470k).
Komatsu expects next generation 193nm ArF (argon
fluoride) lasers to be relatively slow to penetrate the
market because of their high relative maintenance (3x) and
capital cost (1.5x) compared to today's 248nm KrF
(krytpon fluoride) lasers. Ushio has delayed its entry to the
DUV laser market for some time — we are unlikely to see
them before ArF arrives.
Tom Diffely/Mark FitzGerald ML San Francisco spoke
to market leader Cymer, who agree with Komatsu's
estimate of 15% ArF penetration by 2002.
ML comment: For ASML the entrance of Komatsu does
not appear to have caused any price erosion for this key
component. ASML's main DUV product sells for
EUR7.5m ($7.9m) so the laser represents about 6% of the
selling price. We suspect that any future price declines
would be passed on to the customer.
Lambda Physik, the German based subsidiary of
Coherent Inc, is also entering the DUV laser market — it
has a unit installed with an ASML machine at Micron,
and is having its ArF unit assessed by Sematech. We
expect this company to hit the market with the transition
to 193nm. When we visited Lambda they were confident
that their design had significantly lower maintenance
costs than competitive offerings.