To: ratan lal who wrote (7829 ) 10/6/1999 4:25:00 PM From: Mohan Marette Respond to of 12475
Mood's raises India outlook Ratan: Good thing too, Desi stocks will climb and I ain't complaining either.:) =============================Moody's revises India rating outlook (Press release provided by Moody's Investors Service) NEW YORK, Oct 6 - Moody's Investors Service has raised the outlook to positive from stable for India's Ba2 ratings on foreign and domestic currency debt. Moody's pointed out that the country's balance of payments were resilient through the Asian/Russian crises, as well as through the international sanctions that were imposed following India's May 1998 nuclear tests. In addition, the external debt maturity structure improved and foreign reserves strengthened in recent years, reducing the country's vulnerability to external shocks. A stronger consensus has emerged across the political spectrum concerning the necessity for structural economic reform, although frequent political upheavals since 1996 have interrupted legislative advances and policy implementation. In Moody's opinion, the new government that emerges from the latest election is likely to stay in office longer than its recent predecessors even though its margin of victory appears to have remained quite small. A longer-lasting government would be able to undertake a more aggressive economic restructuring during its term of office. The economic recovery that has been underway since the start of the year appears to be linked to domestic factors, such as the restructuring of private enterprises and a marginal upgrading of infrastructure, as well as recovery in the Asian and European export markets. Moody's also said that Indian business confidence now seems less affected by political instability than in previous years. The agency emphasized that the structural weaknesses of the Indian economy -- including chronic fiscal imbalances and the consequent need to maintain tight monetary policy, public sector inefficiency, infrastructure shortages, and low productivity -- remain profound constraints on India's ratings. Inflation has been artificially subdued this year because of the delay in raising administered prices. As a consequence, a backlash could ensue when adjustments are taken to reduce the burden of subsidies on the budget. Over the next 18-24 months, Moody's will closely monitor the new government's ability to develop a coherent, growth-oriented macroeconomic framework without succumbing again to narrow political schisms. biz.yahoo.com