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Non-Tech : E*Trade (NYSE:ET) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Spytrdr who wrote (8784)10/6/1999 10:14:00 PM
From: Dalin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13953
 
Brokerages Take a Licking but Keep On Ticking
By James J. Cramer

10/6/99 10:48 AM ET

You may hate the brokerage stocks, but you have to marvel how they act today in the face of terrible news. First, the "Heard on the Street" column takes dead aim at the group. It talks about hidden losses and terrible bond markets, the type of heat that usually causes some dislocations.

Then Sanford Bernstein, which has historically spoken highly about the industry, rolls out some damaging coverage, including underperforms on Schwab (SCH:NYSE), E*Trade (EGRP:Nasdaq) and Knight/Trimark (NITE:Nasdaq). Ouch, those usually inflict mortal damage on stocks. And what happens? Well, you have a screen. Take a look. These stocks are acting well. Heck, they are all up.

For me, that's cause for taking another look-see at a hated group. In fact, I even beeped Jeff Berkowitz, who is at the CBS (CBS:NYSE) presentation/lovefest and said that the ability to shake off bad news in the brokerages might mark an important short-term bottom.

I know you take your life into your hand when you talk about a bottom in this group, but let's face it, there is a massive amount of negativity built into these stocks. Hmmmm.



To: Spytrdr who wrote (8784)10/7/1999 1:39:00 AM
From: playloose  Respond to of 13953
 

VOLUME VOLUME VOLUME

Another BILLION share day on the NASDAQ.Expect online-
brokers to announce record volume days.Big blocks of EGRP
going across ticker.Analysts have knockdown EGRP all year,
after a short rest at the bottom of the ocean EGRP will
surface for air and then BLAST-OFF to the moon.Looks like
another JANUARY and APRIL takeoff.



To: Spytrdr who wrote (8784)10/7/1999 6:13:00 AM
From: LABMAN  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13953
 
Online brokerages prefigure
the Net's future

By R. Scott Raynovich
Redherring.com
October 7, 1999

NEW YORK -- Cutthroat competition in the online
brokerage market, where rivals spend billions of
dollars on TV advertising, shows that attracting
customers and grabbing market share are crucial
elements in the early development of Internet business
models. And someday, at least, online brokerages are
expected to make money.

"The online brokerages are
fighting the hardest, and therefore
they're doing the most," says Bill
Burnham, who recently became a
venture capital partner with
Softbank Technology Ventures.
Mr. Burnham spent many years
as an equity analyst before
specializing in Internet and online
brokerages.

Mr. Burnham, various investment bank analysts, and
other financial services experts debated the future of
the online brokerage industry at an Internet financial
services conference held this week at Internet World in
New York.

For Jim Marks, a director of
research with Credit Suisse First
Boston, the success of an online
brokerage business boils down to
one question: will revenue be
significantly larger than the
marketing dollars required to
attract new customers?

"It costs them $150 to $300 to
acquire a customer," says Mr.
Marks. "If that account does
$400 in revenue during the first
year, they make money. The difference is, they are
reinvesting that money in the business now, so they're
not showing the profit."

What if the amount of revenue the online brokerages
receive from each customer declines? Panel experts
debated future online brokerage commissions and
whether they'll ever be free. Most online brokerages
charge fees ranging from $7 to $30 per trade.

HOW LOW CAN YOU GO?
"It seems to me that people like ETrade [Nasdaq:
EGRP] will be offering commissions that get closer to
zero," said Henry Blodget, a vice president and
Internet analyst with Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER).
"The question is how to move out of the day-trading
phenomenon and get to really profitable customers.
These companies have great technology, and they've
shown they can aggregate a really large customer base
at a loss. But how do you work out of this really
unprofitable group?"

Mr. Marks, who currently recommends "holds" on
most Internet brokerage stocks because "the market
had moved further beyond," said they can't afford to
reduce commissions much further because transactions
costs already have dropped as low as $7 a trade. "It
won't go to zero," says Mr. Marks. "You allude to
negative earnings, but the underlying businesses are
extremely profitable."

Others believed that while brokerages may not be able
to support free trades, free Internet access may
become an increasingly popular feature of brokerage
services. Mr. Burnham repeated his mantra that paying
for Internet access is "archaic," maintaining that more
online brokers will offer free Internet access.

WHO DO YOU LOVE?
Among brokerages mentioned in the panel were
ETrade, Ameritrade (Nasdaq: AMTD), Charles
Schwab (NYSE: SCH), and Merrill Lynch.

While Mr. Blodget's own firm, Merrill Lynch, was
often ridiculed for its late response to online trading,
some believed that its multiple pricing models -- in
which customers pay either a per-trade fee or a flat
rate for unlimited trading throughout the year -- was a
potential future trend.

"You've got to have different levels of pricing," said
Rob Sterling, an analyst with Jupiter Communications.

ETrade was mentioned often as the group leader,
while Ameritrade was dubbed by Mr. Marks as "most
efficient" in terms of lowering transaction costs.

Despite disagreements over price points and business
models, all of the analysts seemed to concur that
financial services is a market well-suited for the Web,
given its heavy reliance on data and transactions.

"There is no better product suited for Internet
distribution," said Mr. Marks. "It's all data changing
hands, no physical products, and for 98 percent of
financial services products, it means getting something
at the lowest cost. What better tool is there for getting
something like that at the lowest cost than a computer
network?"