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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill F. who wrote (144121)10/7/1999 11:08:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
hey, don't ask those tough questions on this thread.. stick to easy numerical stuff like:

How many naked puts has DELL sold this quarter to fund share buybacks?

(G)



To: Bill F. who wrote (144121)10/7/1999 11:54:00 PM
From: Patrick E.McDaniel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
Bill, do you know the method of shipping of parts coming out of Taiwan?

Are components coming by air or by ship? If parts are shipped by air then smaller warehouses can handle parts for JIT. If components are coming by ship then the stateside supplier would need to warehouse components between shipments thus a supply would be on hand to handle the short term demand but could result in a longer term disruption based on shipping dates.

Components from the stateside warehouses can meet short term demand thus getting you a Dell PC in 5 days not 6.

Your thoughts?



To: Bill F. who wrote (144121)10/8/1999 12:45:00 AM
From: D.J.Smyth  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
Bill, i'm sure you know the answer to this. it is my understanding that there are actually three levels of inventory. Dell's personal inventory is six days. contracts with suppliers, however, require they keep twenty or more days of inventory on hand in order to stay in the loop. much Taiwanese business is handled through third party wharehouses and buyers/sellers (not directly owned by the manufacturer). The manufacturer pays the warehouser's buyers/sellers to store products tagged at $X price for X quantity for X time. Even though the manufacturer was up and running again in six days and working double time to catch up, the warehouses, which were closer to the quake's center, experienced more damage. But, contrasting to the Compaq/HP picture, Dell has significant leverage, not because of it's name, per se, but because of its consistent communication and less hierarchical supply chain of command (so I'm told). the day of the quake, Dell was on the phone securing solid committments from BOTH the warehousers AND the manufacturers of X addtl. parts for $X price. Dell not only bought up its own inventory, but but some of compaq's and HPs as well - one simple reason - speed. Precisely because of Dell's particular model, Dell buyers have more leverage and immediate linkage to top brass who sign checks. HP and Compaq have put their buyers about three manager links away from top brass who sign checks, and, because of their retail model, haven't developed the same necessary linkage - they lost time; and in the Taiwan case, lost sales. Dell's contacts are with both the manufacturer, the warehouses, and the shippers.

Dell is clearly appraised of the manufacturers ability to ramp up supplies again. The warehousers' ability to resupply is a different issue and that which has captured more attention (clearing of truck routes to warehouses, cleaning up storage facilities). You get info from two ends, the buyers/sellers and from the manufacturers themself. Double and tri-level contracts exist and are more difficult to determine. Today, however, Dell put most of those fears to rest I believe. This answer was good enough for me anyway.



To: Bill F. who wrote (144121)10/8/1999 9:37:00 AM
From: JRI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
Bill, I have never manufactured a computer, but it would appear Dell is talking about inventory that its supplies hold (not on Dell's books/not included in your six day figure)...I do not know how long it takes to make/test/distribute a motherboard, chipset, screen, etc...but, from various report, almost all supplies have stated that they have various levels of inventory on hand...and WIP....so, short-term, supply does not seem to be a problem...BUT, there will be a gap (after that inventory supply is exhausted), and WIP in finished and shipped, and the manufacturers will be furiously working to make up the gap....therefore, it could take several weeks to play out (in its entirety)

In any event, it looks like the market thinks MD is telling the truth (based on stock price this morning).....Niles doesn't seem to think MD is telling a fib here either..



To: Bill F. who wrote (144121)10/8/1999 9:57:00 AM
From: Ian@SI  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176387
 
what am i missing?

Bill,

The answer, as usual, is:

1. A complete lack of any understanding of the company's business processes. or, at least, feigning that lack of knowledge.

2. Customers for your hedge fund, perhaps?

3. A market beating position.

One thing you definitely don't seem to be missing is your misguided obsession with bubbles.

have a good day,
Ian



To: Bill F. who wrote (144121)10/9/1999 4:18:00 PM
From: Alohal  Respond to of 176387
 
Say, are you the same Fleckenstein who has been saying the "sky is falling" since 1997? Yea, the same guy who has missed out on on of the greatest Bull markets in history? I'll bet you even still have money in Andrew Tice's "prudent(?)" bear fund (down -79% in the last two years!). Yea right, like anyone would give any credence to anything you have to say about stocks or the market. But nice to see you over here, worrying about your short position, the best advice I could possibly give you is to COVER!!! Cheers

PS: Name calling, ala # 144177, is a sure sign of desperation, maybe you should consult LT, he seems to speak your language. Ho Ho Ho.

Alohal