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Pastimes : Weather and climate -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Julius Wong who wrote (30)	10/11/1999 11:49:00 AM
From: Mike McFarland	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 112

I see that particular issue is concerned with warm ENSO effects--I did not read much of it--as it only took about five seconds to see that it is was not consistent with the latest research--but thanks for the url, and welcome to the thread! Currently the Pacific is in the cold phase of ENSO (El Nino-Southern Oscillation) and perhaps also entering a long cycle (20year) where it will also be in a cool, or negative Pacific Decadal Oscillation. I had the opportunitiy to see a fellow from the University of Washington speak at the NOAA campus here in Seattle about a week ago--unfortunatly, little is known about the PDO...so no modeling and predictions are available. I'm a bit of a snow freak--like a lot of the forecasters in Seattle. Would love to see negative PDO and the frequency of La Ninas increase, not only would that be good for the ski seasons here, but perhaps good for the salmon as well. So far so good, last winter heavy snowpack and runoff...looks like this winter will be wet again--if not the record breaker of last winter. Global warming is pretty convincing, til it goes away. Let's see if El Nino returns in a year or two. Til then, no worries in the Pacific Northwest--in fact, only January and September of this year recorded above normal temperatures, otherwise it's been cool, and even our mountain snowpack of last winter is not entirely melted. Who knows, maybe in twenty years some of our lost glaciers will have returned.