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To: victorw who wrote (52761)10/11/1999 5:20:00 AM
From: oilbabe  Respond to of 95453
 
IEA Raises 1999 Oil Demand Forecast 100,000 Bbl a Day on Economic Recovery

Paris, Oct. 11 (Bloomberg) -- The International Energy
Agency raised its forecast for global oil demand for the fifth
time in six months as economic growth buoys consumption in Asia
and the U.S.

Worldwide oil demand will rise 1.5 percent to 75.3 million
barrels a day in 1999, the Paris-based IEA said, increasing its
forecast by 100,000 barrels a day from its last monthly report.
Next year, global consumption will increase 2.4 percent to 77.1
million barrels a day, the IEA said.

Oil demand is rising at a time when production cuts by the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, which accounts for
40 percent of the world's supplies, are easing concern about a
oil glut, causing prices to almost double this year.
``Demand growth is strengthening as the world economy
recovers from last year's financial crisis,' the IEA's October
report said. ``Higher demand in the fourth quarter is also
likely.'

Benchmark Brent crude oil has risen 97 percent since the
start of the year to $20.70 a barrel, as 10 of OPEC's 11 members
agreed in March to trim output by 4.316 million barrels a day, or
about 6 percent of world supply, from February 1998 levels.

The Bank of Japan said last week's quarterly survey of
confidence at large manufacturers improved to minus 22 from minus
37 in June -- its best showing in 21 months.

In the U.S., the world's largest economy, business
economists said last month they expect spending to grow at a 3
percent annual rate next year, topping the 2.7 percent growth
forecast for gross domestic product.