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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jeffbas who wrote (8595)10/11/1999 10:51:00 AM
From: Mike 2.0  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 78748
 
All, has anyone noticed that for this thread to take notice of a company like XRX, the company first has to step in dogsh*t? If XRX executed and performed well and as expected, it's stock would not have been wounded and never would have been up for consideration by "value" investors. More and more I feel like "value investing" (or my value investing anyway) is more like a spendthrift at the grocery store, who dotes over the damaged goods corner, buys a dented can of food that is selling at a discount, calling it a "value"...only to end up in the ER for samonella! FWIW...hope this is not flame bait



To: jeffbas who wrote (8595)10/11/1999 11:23:00 AM
From: Paul Senior  Respond to of 78748
 
Jeffrey, LOL! Apt analogy. Well, in this market, for those of us who have been around a while -g-, "should" as in what pe multiple should a cash cow sell for, that is a tough question. I'll say 10-12, which would give an earnings/price ratio 8-10%, somewhere maybe around an 8% gov't bond. I'd prefer a multiple closer to 6-8, but then that would mean that the cash cows are way overpriced for this market.

For Xerox, if it's a cash cow, Xerox managers don't see it that way. Sales increased only about 20% over 6 years or so, while managers doubled the long term debt, (And they let shares outstanding increase a little too.)

If I put a multiple of 10 on recent best year's earnings I see ($2.02 in '97), I would pay mayb $21 per share. Also then,the current .80 div. would give a yield of about 4%. To me, that's pretty fair in this market for investors in a "cash cow". Good thing for Xerox stockholders that not many investors see it like I do. (i.e. that the stock @$31 is still overvalued by 1/3)

Paul