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Pastimes : Ask Mohan about the Market -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: IceShark who wrote (17891)10/12/1999 8:06:00 AM
From: Cynic 2005  Respond to of 18056
 
Morning musings: Somebody agrees with me: -g-
<<I think you're very right... these markets may have finally had it... for a while anyhow..... we may very well see that BIG KAHUNA..... look out below!!!!!>> #reply-11515178



To: IceShark who wrote (17891)10/12/1999 12:30:00 PM
From: Cynic 2005  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
Follow-up and update (1999) version of my legendary (in my own mind) post on Sept 9, 1998 (#reply-5705698)!
------------------
The anatomy of coming gut-wrenching decline.

1. How will it feel like? No trigger is needed, all the ingredients for the potion are in place. Dollar, inflation concerns, Y2K, Rising gold and falling bonds.

2. How it will be felt? Awful for the people who have been successfully buying the dips in the last few years. The were surprised after they bought at 5-7% decline. They were succesfully rewarded at the two recent 10% declines. Not for the 3rd one.

3. We are now in the shake the confidence phase: The strong hands now are the least informed or the assholes who think that Fed is there to protect them for ever! These are people who 'conservatively' expect QCOM to appreciate 10% per day and S&P 25% every six months!

A lot of smart money has left the scene. Weak hands have already been shaken out - especially the shorts. The object of the game from now on is to destroy the stronger hands.

This is how it (the panic phase) is designed to be. And I think this is how it will be. You can quote me on that. -g-

4. Panic phase - coming to the markets near you (thank you Def, soon - very soon!) That is when, the legendary myth "sell to whom" will assume reality! -g-

-Mohan