To: gbh who wrote (13616 ) 10/12/1999 9:52:00 PM From: Rob Riordan Respond to of 18016
Pat, its certainly not clear that Fidelity has finished its selling. The fact that there were NO bidders on this stock today, at these prices, is disconcerting. I watched the price action much of the day, and it was brutal. Given the last earnings guidance that demand was strong, and the supply chain problems under control, one has to question why Fidelity would choose now to sell, given the length of time they have supported the company, and the fact that the payoff so near at hand. Gary - I completely agree. The only real support was reached at 22.5 and even then I witnessed wave after wave of selling once the stock tried to rally from there.One thing is sure whether or not your view is long term or short (term). Another blown quarter will permanently put this stock below 20, and roll the heads of these execs. Unfortunatly you are correct again. Seems to me that at some point management has to realize that if they can't reward shareholders long-term they are better off selling to a competitor. On a valuation basis alone, NN's forward earnings of close to $1/share would go along way for a CSCO, LU or NT whose PE's are up there. Not too many companies have a carrier class ATM switch so consolidating into another company that has one might help everyone's margins going forward. Shareholders might also get value for the affiliates in a sale. Perhaps this is more frustration on my part than anything else, but there seems to be a huge disconnect between investor expectation and market realities. I am willing to give current management another quarter, but if they fail to deliver, a sale might make the most sense for all. On the other hand, perhaps NN management is doing such a good job at managing expectations that everyone is so pessimistic on their outlook that they are selling. In this scenario we should be handsomely rewarded when they beat their Q2 guidance. Expecting the worst and hoping for the best. Rob